Gülin Vardar

In this paper, we empirically examine the short term overreaction effect in the Istanbul Stock Exchange using daily stock data from January 1999 to December 2003. The study period covers the pre- and post- Turkish financial crisis period. Consistent with other prior studies on other markets, we find evidence of short term overreaction effect in the Istanbul Stock Exchange prior

This paper investigates the short-run and long-run dynamics among the major sectoral stock indices of the Istanbul Stock Exchange over the period 1997-2011. Long-run relationship among these indices is analyzed by using both conventional Engle and Granger (1987) and Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration tests, causal relationship through Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Likewise, variance decomposition analysis is employed to partition the

This paper employs a VAR-BEKK GARCH model to examine the shock
transmission and volatility spillover (STVS) effects among daily stock market indices of the US, UK, France, Germany, Japan, Turkey, China, South Korea, South Africa and India, together with the five major commodity spot price—crude oil, natural gas, platinum, silver and gold—over the period 05 July, 2005 and 14 October, 2016, i.e., covering the pre-crisis, crisis and post global financial crisis periods. In the full period, the primary trend in advanced and emerging countries is
the bidirectional STVS effects between stock and the commodity returns. However, the results also illustrate relatively less unilateral STVS effects from the commodity to stock returns, but significant unilateral STVS effects from the stock returns to the commodity returns in advanced and emerging countries. We also find more cases of
significant STVS effects between commodity and stock markets in all countries during the crisis and post-crisis periods compared to the pre-crisis period. Therefore, it indicates that STVS effects are the new normal for stock and commodity markets, despite the efforts of central banks during post-global crisis period. In practical terms, our findings suggest that resource allocation decision between stocks and
commodities should involve the analysis of the direction of the STVS effects in particular stock/commodity markets and cycles of the global economy.