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Open AccessA frequent ice-free Arctic is likely to occur before the mid-21st century
Although the trend of sea-ice extent under global warming has been studied extensively in recent years, most climate models have failed to capture the recent rapid change in the Arctic environment, which has b...
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Microphysical Characteristics of Extreme-Rainfall Convection over the Pearl River Delta Region, South China from Polarimetric Radar Data during the Pre-summer Rainy Season
During the pre-summer rainy season, heavy rainfall occurs frequently in South China. Based on polarimetric radar observations, the microphysical characteristics and processes of convective features associated ...
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Recent Unusual Consecutive Spring Tropical Cyclones in North Atlantic and Winter Oceanic Precursor Signals
Although the North Atlantic (NA) hurricane season has been reported to start increasingly early, historical long-term changes in NA spring tropical cyclone (TC) activity have not been examined in previous stud...
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Open AccessUncertainties in tropical cyclone landfall decay
Understanding the responses of landfalling tropical cyclones to a changing climate has been a topic of great interest and research. Among them, the recently reported slowdown of tropical cyclone landfall decay...
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Open AccessImportance of Air-Sea Coupling in Simulating Tropical Cyclone Intensity at Landfall
An atmosphere-only model system for making seasonal prediction and projecting future intensities of landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) along the South China coast is upgraded by including ocean and wave model...
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Recent Decrease in the Difference in Tropical Cyclone Occurrence between the Atlantic and the Western North Pacific
Climatologically, among all ocean basins, the western North Pacific (WNP) has the largest annual number of tropical cyclones (TCs) of around 26 while the Atlantic has around 13, yielding a difference of 13. Ho...
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Article
Open AccessDynamics and characteristics of dry and moist heatwaves over East Asia
The increasing frequency of heatwaves over East Asia (EA) is impacting agriculture, water management, and people’s livelihood. However, the effect of humidity on high-temperature events has not yet been fully ...
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Preface to the Special Issue: Climate Change and Variability of Tropical Cyclone Activity
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Open AccessGrowing Threat of Rapidly-Intensifying Tropical Cyclones in East Asia
This study examines the long-term change in the threat of landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) in East Asia over the period 1975–2020 with a focus on rapidly intensifying (RI) TCs. The increase in the annual nu...
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Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia
This is an extended editors’ commentary on the topical collection “Historical and recent change in extreme climate over East Asia”, which collects a total of 15 papers related to the change and variability of ...
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Meridional oscillation of tropical cyclone activity in the western North Pacific during the past 110 years
A prominent meridional oscillation of tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the western North Pacific (WNP) during the past 110 years is identified in this paper. Based on the best-track TC data, the first three E...
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Recent increase in extreme intensity of tropical cyclones making landfall in South China
This study examines the interdecadal variations in the frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones (TCs) making landfall in South China (SC) during the period 1975–2018. The annual frequency shows a decrease ...
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Impacts of Urbanization on the Precipitation Characteristics in Guangdong Province, China
With the development of urbanization, whether precipitation characteristics in Guangdong Province, China, from 1981 to 2015 have changed are investigated using rain gauge data from 76 stations. These character...
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A Method for Diagnosing the Secondary Circulation with Saturated Moist Entropy Structure in a Mature Tropical Cyclone
Under the adiabatic, axisymmetric and steady assumption, a relationship between the saturated moist entropy structure and the secondary circulation in a tropical cyclone (TC) is derived from the continuity equ...
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Near-future tropical cyclone predictions in the western North Pacific: fewer tropical storms but more typhoons
This study presents forecasts of near-future tropical cyclone (TC) activities over the western North Pacific (WNP) using a TC track-pattern-based prediction model in conjunction with long-term free-run simulat...
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Cyclone-track based seasonal prediction for South Pacific tropical cyclone activity using APCC multi-model ensemble prediction
This study aims to predict the seasonal TC track density over the South Pacific by combining the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Climate Center (APCC) multi-model ensemble (MME) dynamical prediction s...
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Changes of tropical cyclone landfalls in South China throughout the twenty-first century
The nested regional climate/mesoscale modelling system developed by the authors is applied to the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 2-Earth System global model outputs to project future changes of...
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Simulating seasonal tropical cyclone intensities at landfall along the South China coast
A numerical method is developed using a regional climate model (RegCM3) and the Weather Forecast and Research (WRF) model to predict seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) intensities at landfall for the South China r...
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Variations in the power dissipation index in the East Asia region
This study examines the variability of the power dissipation index (PDI) for different regions of the East Asia region during the period 1960–2013. The annual PDI (APDI) in the region is calculated as the sum ...
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Sensitivity of the simulation of tropical cyclone size to microphysics schemes
The sensitivity of the simulation of tropical cyclone (TC) size to microphysics schemes is studied using the Advanced Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF). Six TCs during the 2013 western Nor...