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African Students Organization (ASO) – 11th Annual Forum Student Dining and Residential Programs (SDRP) Building, 19 April 2014 Africa Rising but We Have Been Here Before – A commentary on the boom and bust cycles of wealth dependent on revenues from commodity export with Nigeria as a special case Emmanuel O. Nuesiri Post-doctoral Research Scholar University of Illinois Urbana Champaign (MPhil. Cambridge; PhD. Oxford) Spending money as if there is no tomorrow http://fabmagazineonline.com/fab-reporter-nigerians-arrived-tatler-magazine/ Africans did not just become wealthy today The following GDP graphs from 17 African countries give a sense of how Afri a’s wealth has fluctuated with time; they are snapshots of boom and bust economic cycles The re e t oo oi ides ith high oil pri es, the ust is arou d the or er… What happened to the formerly prosperous countries? Robert Bates Eaton Professor of the Science of Government (Comparative) Harvard University Bates shows how Cameroon, Ghana, Nigeria, mismanaged their surplus agricultural earnings i the 96 s; history see s to e repeati g itself with ou tries like Nigeria … Where is Afri a’s sovereign wealth funds – are we prepared for the inevitable rainy day, for the bust after the boom? Algeria Libya Mauritania Nigeria Angola Botswana http://www.geocurrents.info/geonotes/norwegian-and-other-sovereign-wealth-funds Super seven sovereign wealth funds http://www.swfinstitute.org/fund-rankings/ Nigerian sovereign wealth fund http://nsia.com.ng/ Co e ed i O to er ith US$ illio … … a aged Chief E e uti e Offi er Uche Orji, a former Goldman Sachs Group Inc., JPMorga Chase & Co. a d UBS AG a ker… Go er ors fro Nigeria’s 6 states, i ludi g Lagos’ Babatunde Fashola, have said the fund is unconstitutional as all oil revenue must go to the federation account and be distributed between state, local and federal governments. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-20/nigeria-plans-to-boost-capital-of-sovereign-wealth-fund.html Ti e will tell how well Afri a ou tries like Nigeria will perfor whe the oil oo ust… The e d…tha k ou!