ARMA model
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Most downloaded papers in ARMA model
This study aims to develop a stochastic framework of model to forecast future sales for pharmaceutical industry. In this regard, the study focuses on Merck Pharmaceutical monthly sales data. This study examines the Sale forecasting... more
This article applied GARCH model instead AR or ARMA model to compare with the standard BP and SVM in forecasting of the four international including two Asian stock markets indices.These models were evaluated on five performance metrics... more
In this paper, we exactly quantify the bullwhip effect, the variance amplification in replenishment orders, for cases of stochastic demand and stochastic lead time in a simple two-stage supply chain with one supplier and one retailer. In... more
Time series of streamflow plays an important role in planning, design and management of water resources system. In the event of non availability of a long series of historical streamflow record, generation of the data series is of utmost... more
The purpose of this paper is twofold. Firstly, to investigate the merit of estimating probability density functions rather than level or classification estimations on a one- day-ahead forecasting task of the silver time series. This is... more
Accurate prediction of lake-level changes is a very important problem for a wise and sustainable use. In recent years significant lake level fluctuations have occurred and can be related to the climatic change. Such a problem is crucial... more
This paper considers estimation of the parameters for the fractionally integrated class of processes known as ARFIMA. We consider the small sample properties of a conditional sum-of-squares estimator that is asymptotically equivalent to... more