Forex Trading

This is the RAW DATA for a neural network price prediction system to be utilized for the prediction of stock prices on US markets.  To date the performances are doing well.

I have experiemented with multiple architectures and now am attempting a 4 day swing trade prediction network that has its results included here.
so far:

Neural net 1= average portfolio error .4627%
Neural net 2= average portfolio error 1.7%
and
4 day swing trade neural net = average portfolio error of 4.84%

This paper examines short-term price reactions after one-day abnormal price changes and whether they create exploitable profit opportunities in various financial markets. A t-test confirms the presence of overreactions and also suggests that there is an “inertia anomaly”, i.e. after an overreaction day prices tend to move in the same direction for some time.  A trading robot approach is then used to test two trading strategies aimed at exploiting the detected anomalies to make abnormal profits. The results suggest that a strategy based on counter-movements after overreactions does not generate profits in the FOREX and the commodity markets, but it is profitable in the case of the US stock market. By contrast, a strategy exploiting the “inertia anomaly” produces profits in the case of the FOREX and the commodity markets, but not in the case of the US stock market.

General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) merupakan salah satu model jaringan radial basis yang digunakan untuk pendekatan suatu fungsi. Model GRNN termasuk model jaringan syaraf tiruan dengan solusi yang cepat, karena tidak diperlukan iterasi yang besar pada estimasi bobot-bobotnya. Model ini memiliki arsitektur jaringan yang baku, dimana jumlah unit pada pattern layer sesuai dengan jumlah data input. Salah satu aplikasi GRNN adalah untuk memprediksi nilai return saham dari indeks Euro 50 CFD (Contract For Difference). Indeks Euro 50 CFD (Contract For Difference) digunakan sebagai patokan harga saham dari 50 perusahaan terbesar di zona Eropa. Para investor melakukan investasi di saham indeks Euro 50 CFD (Contract For Difference) dengan harapan mendapatkan kembali keuntungan yang sesuai dengan apa yang telah di investasikannya. Dengan menggunakan model GRNN diperoleh bahwa nilai RMSE dan R2 untuk data training sebesar 0,00095 dan 99,19%. Untuk data testing diperoleh nilai RMSE dan R2 sebesar 0,00725 dan 98,46%. Berdasarkan nilai prediksi return saham dua belas hari ke depan diperoleh kerugian tertinggi atau capital loss pada 15 Desember 2014 sebesar 5,583188% dan profit tertinggi atau capital gain pada tanggal 10 Desember 2014 sebesar 2,267641%

There are many aspects to successful trading. An often overlooked yet critical aspect is, knowing the trading system ("trading strategy") you’re using actually has a clear positive edge/positive expectancy.
This is a MUST for any consistently profitable trading strategy! 
Read on to understand the importance of trading system expectancy, learn how to calculate it, and confirm if you have a profitable trading strategy (clear positive expectancy).

Metode yang membahas langkah-langkah sederhana dan praktis untuk mendapatkan profit yang konsisten di FBS Forex. Metode menekankan pada cara penggunaan metatrader 4, indikator, dan EA robot. Serta cara praktis profit secara konsisten dari hasil penelitian dan pengalaman sendiri.

Why to learn, and trade the dragon pattern?
It has its basic concepts derived from wildly known basic chart patterns like double tops and double bottoms. These patterns are traded by many of the traders all around the world.
Alike the above mentioned patterns, it does have an excellent risk to reward ratio (R:R)
Involves Fibonacci ratios, and often does serve as an early identification of usually an “irregular” 5 point harmonic pattern, so based on that it will offer an opposite high probability entry point as well at its target profit levels.
Finally because I found it very rewarding and highly profitable.

Günümüz finans piyasalarında önemli bir araç olan foreks işlemleri yüksek risk içermekle birlikte yatırımcıların oldukça fazla bir ilgisini çekmektedir. Türk foreks piyasasında işlem yapan yatırımcılar psikolojik faktörlerin etkisinde kısa sürede düşük miktarda bir parayı çok yüksek miktarlara dönüştürme
beklentisiyle büyük kayıplara uğrayabilmektedirler. Bu çalışmada Türk Foreks yatırımcıları davranışsal açıdan araştırılarak, onların etkin ve rasyonel bir yatırım süreci izleyebilmeleri için dikkat etmeleri gereken hususlar ortaya konulmaya çalışılmıştır.

This issue "Overview of Popular Performance Measurement Ratios"
intends to provide the interested reader with an overview of
popular ratios used to evaluate investment performance. We
discuss five performance measurement ratios, which we consider
the most common ones to measure performance in the
alternative industry universe.
In this paper, we review five popular performance ratios: Calmar
Ratio, Omega, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio and Treynor Ratio. We
discuss each ratio as per the following subsections: history, basis,
formula, strengths & weaknesses, boundary values of the function
& improved variations of the ratio.

This study aims to identify factors affecting the consumers' purchase intention in the foreign exchange market among expatriates who live in Kuala Lumpur. This study is looking for measuring the level of purchase intention related to trust, context , content, internet usage and infrastructure of website in FOREX market. Self-administered questionnaires were administered to clients, IBs, and brokers in this market. The questionnaires were distributed to the FOREX traders in Kuala Lumpur - Malaysia. Results showed that the main factors affecting the consumer purchase intention are trust, content, context and infrastructure of FOREX website. The correlation test is used to determine the relationship between the trust, context of FX website, content of FX website, internet usage and infrastructure of the FX website with the consumer purchase intention. The result of this research can be useful for FOREX Brokers FOREX dealers, central banks and any financial institution to develop the quality of their services in order to gain more investors and the clients’ loyalty to this market.

The theory behind the Traders Oracle software is manipulating the future by exploiting the time delay critical in relaying information, the revolutionary ultra-fast auto click Traders Oracle software is supposed to automatically trigger a trade when news is released, without any assistance from the trader, other than the initial set-up. Because $12M robot place all the trades a few micro-millisecond.  It complete both sides of the trade before the signal exchange turn to update within a millionth of second the oracle can complete both sides of a trade, before the market even updated itself. This provided liquidity in the markets and you can take home the profits.

Peran mata uang sangatlah penting bagi setiap orang di seluruh dunia, entah mereka menyadarinya atau tidak, karena mata uang harus ditukar untuk melakukan perdagangan luar negeri dan bisnis. Contoh jika anda tinggal di Indonesia dan ingin membeli mobil dari Jepang, anda atau perusahaan tempat dimana anda membeli mobil harus membayar dengan YEN Jepang. Artinya importir Indonesia harus menukarkan uang RUPIAH nya dengan nilai yang setara dalam bentuk YEN Jepang. Hal yang sama berlaku ketika kita berpergian keluar negri. Seorang turis dari Jepang yang melancong ke Mesir tidak bisa membayar dengan YEN Jepang untuk melihat piramida, karena YEN bukanlah mata uang yang diterima secara lokal di Mesir. Dengan demikian, wisatawan asing harus menukar mata uang negara asalnya dengan mata uang lokal sesuai kurs yang berlaku saat ini. Gambaran diatas hanyalah sedikit contoh dari kegiatan yang mempengaruhi fluktuasi nilai mata uang di dunia, bayangkanlah berapa banyak transaksi perdagangan yang terjadi diseluruh dunia dalam satu hari ?

Source: http://enjoy-to-trade.blogspot.com/2015/05/pengertian-forex-apa-itu-forex.html

A large number of people find it difficult to decide what they want to do for the living. This was also my case. I knew I wanted to earn money and travel a lot. Then, I became interested in trading, as it was a job that could offer me exactly what I wanted. I knew that all I needed was to become a specialist and a laptop with internet connection. That meant I could live wherever I wanted to.
Even it might sound easy, you must know that becoming a trader is far from being an easy task. You must be aware of the fact that if you want to become a successful licensed trader, there are some important steps that must be taken.

Muchas personas se preguntan qué es el forex trading, pensando en algo sumamente complicado. Pero este es simplemente un mercado, el mercado de capitales y es mundialmente conocido como Forex o FX. Al ingresar en él estarás haciendo forex trading con las distintas monedas que existen en el mundo.

Over-the-counter currency trading involves a bid/ask spread and that’s how the brokers make money. The good news is that the currency market is capable of offering you a round-the-clock liquidity and this way you will receive tight, competitive spreads both in intra-day and night trades.