Pyramidal Framework: Guidance for the Next Generation of GIS Spatial-Temporal Models
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Background of Spatio-Temporal Modeling and New Challenges
2.1. Short Evolution of Spatio-Temporal Models
2.2. Limitations and Challenges
3. Levels of Functionality
3.1. A Pyramidal Structure of Functionality
- Level 1—Temporal snapshots: The world is viewed as a succession of time-ordered snapshots of spatial object configurations. This modeling helps one to answer a basic question such as “Are there changes?”.
- Level 2—Object change: “The focus shifts from the temporal sequences of objects, their attributes and relationships, to the changes that can happen to objects, attributes, and relationships” [2]. Now, one can answer the following question: “What are the changes?”.
- Level 3—Event and Process: Compared to level 2, level 3 gives an explicit representation of the phenomena by introducing the concepts of event and process. Spatio-temporal phenomena are treated as a collection of happenings. Events and processes are considered distinct entities.
- Level 4—Identity: Identity is the certainty of being able to continue to refer to the object consistently despite its changes. The concepts related to this need are already known and well-identified. However, we believe that they are not fully exploited and that there is still potential for improvement. First, a fine-grained modeling of identity should explicitly distinguish the concept of identity from the one of identification. Secondly, managing the identity of geographic objects also raises several issues in terms of usages and points of view. Indeed, the identity of the same geographical object will not necessarily be the same depending upon the domain in which it is studied. Consequently, the object identity must also be defined according to the users.
- Level 5—Causality: Causal analysis is essential when studying geographical phenomena, because it serves to justify them, to give them meaning. It turns out to be a foundational element of logical reasoning. It is from this level of modeling that we can fully answer the question: “Why changes have occurred?”. Equipped with this, it becomes possible to document the origin of the modifications. Moreover, in the case of multiple interpretations, the representation of the cause may be the factor that justifies one choice of interpretation over another.
- Level 6—Interpretation: the same event is not necessarily perceived in a similar way by different people and can consequently induce different meanings. Indeed, the way a human perceives a geographical object, or a fact, depends on his experience, his field of expertise (e.g., geographer, architect, urban planner), and the context of the study. In addition, relationships between events such as causal relations are often a matter of subjectivity and understanding. For example, two experts do not always approach identical data in the same way. Therefore, a spatio-temporal model managing interpretation should support dissimilar descriptions and interpretations of the same objects and events. It should therefore be able to handle multiple contextual viewpoints on the same real-world occurrences.
3.2. Level 1: Implicit Representation of Changes
3.3. Level 2: Explicit Representation of Changes
3.4. Level 3: Explicit Representation of the Phenomena Leading of Changes
Analysis
- Models that do not integrate the notion of the object as an entity that persists over time (e.g., cities, packages, cars). Furthermore, they do not provide explicit relationships between events since they only represent them as a simple sequence of temporal features that follow one another. In this category, we find models such as TEMPEST [33] or ESTDM [34].
- Models that are explicitly adding object-event and event-event relationships, but are not differentiating between events and processes. Therefore, they do not express links between the two (e.g., process-event). GEM, presented earlier, is a good illustration of this.
- Models that make the difference between event and process. In these models, the relationship between process and event is expressed through an aggregation relationship. For example, events can be seen as an assembly of processes, such as in the event-oriented approach [35] and the spatio-temporal processes framework [107] where events are defined as a set of processes that transform entities. In [117], events consist of multiple processes.
3.5. Level 4: Explicit Representation of Identity
3.5.1. Fundamentals of Identity: An Individual’s Identity and Preservation of Identity through Time
3.5.2. Identity of Objects and Computer Representation
3.5.3. Filiation Relation
3.5.4. Identity in GIScience
3.5.5. Analysis and Proposals
3.6. Level 5: Explicit Representation of Causality
3.6.1. Causality in Philosophy and Science
3.6.2. Cause in GIScience
3.6.3. Characteristics of the Cause
3.6.4. Examples of Causality Modeling in Geographic Sciences
3.6.5. Analysis
- The cause is a challenging concept to model. Indeed, the various causality models and the few given examples indicate that this concept is relatively delicate to model. One of the difficulties may be that identical facts can be interpreted differently. One should also add the complexity brought by the multiplicity of causes and effects. Indeed, an effect is often the result of several causes or a series of nested causes.
- The cause is closely related to the concepts of event and process. Indeed, the event (or the process) can be considered as the element that produces the cause. In this case, the cause serves, for example, as a justification for the occurrence of a geographical phenomenon. Therefore, the use of the concept of causality can only be fully realized through a model that explicitly manages the events (and/or processes). We can cite Galton’s models as an example (Section 3.6.4).
- Causal relations can improve the representation of interactions between geographic phenomena. Causality represents a form of interaction between different processes that act on geographic objects. Studying these interactions is essential for a better understanding of the real world. It enables to build and test hypotheses, derive laws, or improve simulation models. For example, it is important for scientists to know whether two geographical processes occurring in the same spatio-temporal area can have a causal relation (e.g., when one contributes to generating the other).
- Causal modeling can be useful in the area of decision-making. Since the causal relationship is unidirectional, causes can be inferred from effects. This helps, among other things, to improve the understanding of the origin of changes. Thus, the study and modeling of causes can help to deduce or predict future changes. For example, a spatio-temporal GIS capable of reconstructing a causal chain would allow the user to anticipate or accurately assess the possible consequences of an action, a process, or the occurrence of an event on the evolution of the studied geographical phenomenon.
- Causal relations must be interpreted in a context. As Allen [169] points out, causal relations are more a matter of human perception than real-world properties. As such, they are highly subject to interpretation. For this reason, causal relations only hold in relation to the context in which they occur. Ideally, a comprehensive causal model should provide mechanisms to represent knowledge about the involvement of agents in cause-effect relationships.
- The concept of causality is under-exploited. Despite convincing results such as the work of Mau et al. [186] or the one of Bleisch et al. [172,191], the concept of causality is currently under-exploited in actual spatio-temporal models. More recently, Ghazouani et al. [192] have shown, through a practical case, that the modeling of causes allows for the interpretation of the consequences of geographical phenomena. However, current spatio-temporal models represent causality in a relatively simple way without considering all the related concepts. We believe that it is possible to improve this representation by integrating the previously mentioned concepts such as the notions of direct and indirect causes or temporal constraints. Moreover, the expressiveness of the model would also be improved by integrating the concepts developed by Galton [102,104].
3.7. Level 6: Allowing for Multiple Interpretations
3.7.1. Interpretation Concept
3.7.2. Notion of Context
3.7.3. Notion of Point of View
3.7.4. Context and Point of View
3.7.5. Synthesis
4. Discussion
- Identity is a key element in keeping track of the evolution of objects, so it naturally complements the first three levels. Furthermore, the need for causality and interpretation generally requires advanced identity management. Identity must therefore be explicitly expressed to take full advantage of these two upper levels. Moreover, fine-grained identity management will facilitate the encoding of filiation relationships. It will therefore help to better detect or improve the understanding of the data evolution.
- Causality is a notion that allows a set of concepts such as process, event, state, and object to be assembled, with links between them. Thus, the cause must be placed at least after the explicit representation of phenomena. This type of representation is still a challenge since few spatio-temporal models explicitly exploit this concept. Moreover, with better integration and use of the concept of causality, several spatio-temporal analyses can be derived and further developed. For example, the spatio-temporal relationships between oceanic eddies and tropical cyclones could be characterized differently (this example is inspired by [256]). In addition, representing geographic information in the form of causal chains could significantly improve the spatio-temporal visualization of complex geographic phenomena.
- Interpretation constitutes an interesting level for the following cases:
- -
- The first case is when we do not know precisely what happened. Indeed, historical events are subject to interpretation. Thus, making a few hypotheses is often necessary to reconstruct past states. This is the typical case of urban archaeology that we mentioned previously. For example, experts seek to reconstruct the changes that a building has undergone over time. However, they do not know precisely what happened, as information is missing. Thus, each expert proposes a solution that may be different from one another. Sometimes the answers are complementary, sometimes they are conflicting.
- -
- This second case is like the first one, but the purpose is to represent hypotheses of future evolution. Indeed, a spatio-temporal model is not necessarily limited to past data. For example, in the context of urban planning, it is essential to handle multiple scenarios of future city developments, as well as to process projected data.
- -
- The third case concerns experts from different domains who need to model their diverse points of view on the studied objects. The interpretation is useful to establish a consensus and identify the divergent opinions among the experts.
- Categories are not mutually exclusive, rather they are complementary to each other. Indeed, a spatio-temporal model can belong simultaneously to multiple levels. For example, a model could explicitly represent the type of changes together with the concepts of events/processes. In this case, such a model belongs to both levels 2 and 3.
- Despite the existence of an interrelation between the levels, the higher levels do not necessarily include the lower levels. For example, as mentioned in Section 3.4, some level 3 models such as TEMPEST do not explicitly name transformations and therefore do not include level 2.
- The ordering of the levels is not absolute. The pyramid is primarily to help and guide the design of new models or to enhance existing ones. For example, it can serve as a conceptual basis for the upgrade of spatio-temporal models by adding new features. The pyramid can also be considered as a reading grid to organize the spatio-temporal models. However, it should be noted that certain spatio-temporal models such as the triad framework [31] do not fit into its categories.
- We would like to position the pyramidal framework in relation to the notion of temporal scale. Indeed, when designing spatio-temporal models, the selection of the temporal scale influences a part of the modeling choices. However, the pyramid concepts (e.g., temporal snapshots, object change, event, process, identity, causality, interpretation) can be explored at different temporal scales. For example, in the context of urban data, the concept of the event can be used to study the data at different temporal granularities. The evaluation of the impact of urbanization can be done on an annual scale (decrease of arable lands, the increase of impermeable surfaces, etc.). While in the case of Smart Cities, data can be analyzed in real-time like public transport data (bus stops and departures, road accidents, etc.). Consequently, the notion of temporal scale is more transversal and covers all the levels of the pyramidal framework.
5. Concluding Remarks and Future Research Opportunities
- In terms of identity integration:
- -
- The definition of identity must include all the constituents of the geographical object, namely spatiality, temporality, and thematic.
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- Imposing a pre-established list of transformations to manage identity change is insufficient for realistic modeling. Indeed, the attribution of the identity must be variable and be made according to the field of application.
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- The concept of identity only makes sense in a context and depends on the users’ point of view.
- In terms of causality integration:
- -
- Lower-level models cannot track the causes behind the evolution of geographical objects. This can only be achieved by explicitly incorporate causal mechanisms.
- -
- Current spatio-temporal models represent causality in a relatively simple way without considering all related concepts. We believe that it is possible to improve this representation by integrating concepts such as direct and indirect causes, or temporal constraints. This could enhance the expressiveness of spatio-temporal modeling.
- -
- Causal relations can improve the representation of interactions between geographical phenomena. In addition, the study and modeling of causes can help deduce or predict future changes, thus causal modeling can be useful in the area of decision-making.
- In terms of interpretation integration:
- -
- The concepts of identity and causality are intricately linked to the one of interpretation. Indeed, the concept of identity depends on the point of view of the users, and causality relations are valid only in the context in which they have been defined. However, the use of interpretation has a much broader scope.
- -
- Interpretation is particularly useful in the area of problem-solving, especially when the methods of analysis and the understanding of the same subject by different experts diverge. In this case, the point of view helps to take into account the diversity of experts’ opinions.
- -
- The interpretation is also relevant when considering different alternatives of evolution (scenarios). This is particularly valuable in the context of the historical studies of a city or in urban planning.
- -
- The concept of context is essentially limited to the user’s physical environment. It could be extended to incorporate the research environment and methodology in which the study is conducted.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Carré, C.; Hamdani, Y. Pyramidal Framework: Guidance for the Next Generation of GIS Spatial-Temporal Models. ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2021, 10, 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10030188
Carré C, Hamdani Y. Pyramidal Framework: Guidance for the Next Generation of GIS Spatial-Temporal Models. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information. 2021; 10(3):188. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10030188
Chicago/Turabian StyleCarré, Cyril, and Younes Hamdani. 2021. "Pyramidal Framework: Guidance for the Next Generation of GIS Spatial-Temporal Models" ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 10, no. 3: 188. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10030188