Heteroskedasticity vs. Homoskedasticity
Heteroskedasticity vs. Homoskedasticity
Heteroskedasticity vs. Homoskedasticity
Vs.
Homoskedasticity
Heteroskedasticity:
Definition
Heteroskedasticity is a problem
where the error terms do not have a
constant variance.
E (ei2 )
2
i
Slide 2
Heteroskedasticity
Homoscadesticity
Heteroskedasticity:
Definition
This often gives the plots of the
residuals by the dependent variable
or appropriate independent variables
a characteristic fan or funnel shape.
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Slide 5
Reasons of Heteroscedasticity:
Heteroskedasticity:
Implications (cont.)
The estimator variances are not
asymptotically efficient, and they are
biased.
So confidence intervals are invalid.
What do we know about the bias of the
variance?
If Yi is positively correlated with ei, bias is
negative - (hence t values will be too large.)
With positive bias many t's too small.
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Slide 9
Heteroskedasticity:
Implications (cont.)
Types of Heteroskedasticity
There are a number of types of
heteroskedasticity.
Additive
Multiplicative
ARCH (Autoregressive conditional
heteroskedastic) - a time series problem.
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Slide 10
Heteroskedasticity:
Causes
It may be caused by:
Model misspecification - omitted variable or improper
functional form.
Learning behaviors across time as the number of hours
of typing practice increases, the average number of
typing errors as well as their variances decreases.
Changes in data collection or definitions. companies
with larger profits are generally expected to show
greater variability in their dividend policies than
companies with lower profits. Also, growth oriented
companies are likely to show more variability in their
dividend payout ratio than established companies.
etc).
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Slide 11
Outliers
Outliers or breakdown in model.
An outlying observation, or outlier, is an
observation that is much different (either
very small or very large) in relation to the
observations in the sample. More precisely,
an outlier is an observation from a different
population to that generating the remaining
sample observations.
Frequently observed in cross sectional data
sets where demographics are involved
(population, GNP,
Heteroskedasticity: Tests
Informal Methods
Plot the data and look for patterns!
Plot the residuals by the predicted
dependent variable (Resids on the Yaxis)
Plotting the squared residuals actually
makes more sense, since that is what the
assumption refers to!
Slide 14
Graphical Representation
Heteroskedasticity: Tests
(cont.)
Park test
As an exploratory test, log the residuals
and regress them on the logged values of
the suspected independent variable.
l n u i 2 l n 2 B l n X i v i
a B ln X i v i
Slide 16
Homoskedasticity: Tests
(cont.)
Goldfeld-Quandt test
Order the n cases by the X that you
think is correlated with ei2.
Drop a section of c cases out of the
middle
(one-fifth is a reasonable number).
Run separate regressions on both upper
and lower samples.
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Slide 17
Heteroskedasticity:
Tests (cont.)
F n c 2 k
(
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n c 2 k
,
)
2
see1
see2
Slide 18
Whites General
Heteroscedasticity Test:
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Slide 20