- Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Martin Petri
International Monetary Fund, African, Department Member
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Research Interests: Business, Economics, Financial Economics, Causation, Jordan, and 15 moreFinancial Markets, International Finance, Correlation, Descriptive Statistics, Financial Instruments, Granger causality, Hypothesis testing, Equation, Cointegration, Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Financial Market, Bonds, Common Trends, Correlations, and Linear Time
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An assessment of public infrastructure development in the Western Balkans. The paper quantifies the large gaps across various sectors/dimensions, evaluates current infrastructure plans, and discusses funding options available to countries... more
An assessment of public infrastructure development in the Western Balkans. The paper quantifies the large gaps across various sectors/dimensions, evaluates current infrastructure plans, and discusses funding options available to countries in the region. The paper also identifies important bottlenecks for increased infrastructure investment. Finally, the paper quantifies potential growth benefits from addressing infrastructure gaps, concluding that boosting the quantity and quality of infrastructure is vital for raising economic growth and accelerating income convergence with the EU. The paper concludes with country-specific policy recommendations.
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Using data from three household surveys, we review whether growth in Mauritius was inclusive and discuss the incidence of public expenditures and taxes. Generally, Mauritius enjoys an even income distribution and low rates of poverty.... more
Using data from three household surveys, we review whether growth in Mauritius was inclusive and discuss the incidence of public expenditures and taxes. Generally, Mauritius enjoys an even income distribution and low rates of poverty. Nevertheless, over the 2000s, despite overall progress, the benefits of growth appear to have become more skewed. Employment income is the main contributor to inequality in Mauritius. Social protection expenditures reduce poverty and inequality, but could be better targeted, particularly for pensions. Income taxes are progressive, though given their small relative weight they have a negligible impact on income distribution. The VAT appears relatively progressive compared to other developing countries, although its impact on the overall distribution is also small. With better targeting of the sizable social spending, significant further progress in poverty alleviation could be achieved.
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Despite important past reforms, the ageing population of Mauritius threatens the sustainability of its pension system. This paper examines how pension spending might increase without reforms and discusses reforms options. The findings... more
Despite important past reforms, the ageing population of Mauritius threatens the sustainability of its pension system. This paper examines how pension spending might increase without reforms and discusses reforms options. The findings suggest that unifying the retirement age and indexing it to life expectancy would contribute most significantly to secure and sustainable pensions. The poverty reducing objective of the
universal pension can be improved by better targeting. The old age protection objective of the National Pension Fund could be strengthened by increasing contribution and
replacement rates. Implementing changes faster should result in less drastic future changes and fairer outcomes
universal pension can be improved by better targeting. The old age protection objective of the National Pension Fund could be strengthened by increasing contribution and
replacement rates. Implementing changes faster should result in less drastic future changes and fairer outcomes
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... As a result, energy sector opera-tions across the FSU cause large distortions and inefficiencies that hamper struc-tural change and growth, while complicating fiscal policy and posing substantial risks to macroeconomic stability. ...