- MS and PhD in Agriculture and Resource Economics at the University of California, DavisResearch interests in the area of Trade Policy Analysisedit
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The African Continental Free Trade Area agreement will create the largest single market in the world in terms of the number of countries and people. We analyse the effects of regional trade liberalisation on production fragmentation and... more
The African Continental Free Trade Area agreement will create the largest single market in the world in terms of the number of countries and people. We analyse the effects of regional trade liberalisation on production fragmentation and networks using a global computable general equilibrium model adapted to take into account the value-added structure of international trade. This permits the analysis of the impact of trade policies in the presence of global upstream and downstream linkages through a counterfactual analysis. The analysis goes beyond previous studies by focusing on member countries’ agricultural and food integration in regional and global value chains through backward and forward linkages. Our simulation results suggest that the agreement could have a significant impact on trade patterns in terms of value-added structure and extra- or intra-regional destinations. The reduction in trade costs within the region has a higher incidence on agriculture and food backward intra-regional integration than on forward participation, but this pattern varies substantially across countries. We find that the continental agreement translates in more widely spread benefits across sectors if we consider the income generated within each sector (value added) rather than simply accounting for gross exports.
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Lo Studio presenta un'analisi descrittiva dell'interscambio tra Italia e Mercosur e una simulazione controfattuale volta a valutare come l'Accordo di associazione commerciale tra Unione Europea (UE) e Mercosur potrebbe... more
Lo Studio presenta un'analisi descrittiva dell'interscambio tra Italia e Mercosur e una simulazione controfattuale volta a valutare come l'Accordo di associazione commerciale tra Unione Europea (UE) e Mercosur potrebbe influire sui flussi commerciali dell'Italia. La prima parte è dedicata alla ricostruzione delle relazioni economiche tra Italia e Mercosur, con una disamina degli interessi commerciali italiani in termini di esportazioni e importazioni e un approfondimento dedicato al settore agroalimentare. La seconda parte riguarda una simulazione quantitativa condotta attraverso un modello di equilibrio generale globale per valutare gli effetti economici attesi dell'Accordo. I risultati della simulazione mostrano che i partner su entrambe le sponde dell'Atlantico potranno registrare un aumento dei flussi commerciali e del PIL a seguito dell'Accordo, sebbene una certa eterogeneità dei risultati, sia a livello di aree che settoriale, è stata riscontrata nello Studio.
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At the conclusion of the Uruguay Round the measure that was expected to have the most tangible impact was the clause relating to market access, requiring the signatory nations to convert non-tariff barriers into tariffs and achieve an... more
At the conclusion of the Uruguay Round the measure that was expected to have the most tangible impact was the clause relating to market access, requiring the signatory nations to convert non-tariff barriers into tariffs and achieve an overall average tariff reduction of 36% by the year 2000 in agri-food sector. However, it has not produced the anticipated results owing to certain technical provisions that have diminished its effect. Its actual impact on trade and welfare has been assessed by means of indicators (Trade Restrictiveness Index, or TRI, and Mercantilistic TRI) taking account of the distribution of tariff reductions made by the European Union, the United States and Canada.
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National audienceA l'issue de la signature de l'accord de l'Uruguay Round, les effets effectifs des réductions tarifaires sur le commerce international restent incertains du fait des dispositions techniques adoptées par les... more
National audienceA l'issue de la signature de l'accord de l'Uruguay Round, les effets effectifs des réductions tarifaires sur le commerce international restent incertains du fait des dispositions techniques adoptées par les différents pays qui ont réduit la portée de cette clause. A l'aide d'indicateurs de restriction des échanges ("Trade restrictiveness index" et "Mercantilistic trade restrictiveness index") est évalué l'impact sur le bien-être et sur le volume des échanges qu'a eu cette réduction, en tenant compte de l'allocation des baisses de droits de douane entre produits, telle qu'elle a été pratiquée par l'Union européenne, les Etats-Unis et le Canada
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... of philippine Ams notifications and shadow notifications, 1995− 2008 376 10.13 philippine green box and ... program nFA national Food Authority Osec Office of the secretary php philippine peso Trp ... negotiations in 1994 was the... more
... of philippine Ams notifications and shadow notifications, 1995− 2008 376 10.13 philippine green box and ... program nFA national Food Authority Osec Office of the secretary php philippine peso Trp ... negotiations in 1994 was the introduc-tion of a multilateral architecture of rules ...
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... low tariff (roughly 5 per cent, on whey concentrates), and it enjoys importation on a large ... between these two assumptions-the imperfect competition literature suggests that the tariff will result in terms of trade gains regardless... more
... low tariff (roughly 5 per cent, on whey concentrates), and it enjoys importation on a large ... between these two assumptions-the imperfect competition literature suggests that the tariff will result in terms of trade gains regardless of the buyer's size-the terms of trade effect is often ...
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Research Interests: Economics, Econometrics, International Relations, Applied Economics, Gravity Equation, and 13 moreSocial Science Research Network, Effect size, Gravity Model, Sample Size, Meta Analysis, Publication Bias, Random Effects Model, Bilateral trade, Regional Trade, Reciprocal, Free Trade Agreement, Asean Free Trade Agreement, and Trade flows
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Using the World Bank database “Distortions to agricultural incentives,” this paper analyzes the impact that agricultural (dis)incentives have on food security for a wide sample of countries over the 1990–2010 period. We adopt a continuous... more
Using the World Bank database “Distortions to agricultural incentives,” this paper analyzes the impact that agricultural (dis)incentives have on food security for a wide sample of countries over the 1990–2010 period. We adopt a continuous treatment approach applying generalized propensity score matching to reduce potential biases stemming from differences in observed country characteristics. The results provide strong evidence of self‐selection and heterogeneous food security impacts at different levels of policy intensity. Estimates of the dose‐response functions show that both discrimination against agriculture and large support for it lead to poor performance in the availability, access, and utilization dimensions of food security.