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      Environmental EngineeringCivil EngineeringMathematicsMonte Carlo Simulation
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      Mechanical EngineeringCivil EngineeringNonparametric StatisticsMonte Carlo Simulation
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      EngineeringMechanical EngineeringComputer ScienceComputational Fluid Dynamics
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      Environmental EngineeringCivil EngineeringUncertainty QuantificationPrecipitation
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      Computer ScienceSensitivity AnalysisUncertainty QuantificationCSIRO
For very long the deterministic view of Nature prevailed in Physics. Starting from the Illuminism there was the believe that Mechanics was completely described by Newton laws. If the initial conditions of a mechanical systems were... more
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      Stochastic Dynamic ModelingUncertainty QuantificationStochastic OptimizationUncertainty analysis
Through our project, we want to investigate the effect of policy uncertainty on the unemployment level and we expect to find a positive causal effect. An interesting debate has risen recently since many scholars argued that the... more
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    •   7  
      Applied EconometricsUnemploymentTime series EconometricsUncertainty Quantification
This paper deals with the applications of stochastic spectral methods for structural topology optimization in the presence of uncertainties. A non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion is integrated into a topology optimization algorithm... more
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      Computational MechanicsStructural OptimizationTopology OptimizationUncertainty Quantification
ABSTRACT: The present paper examines how statistics of extremes can be used to enhance the assessment and performance prediction of monitored highway bridges. This is achieved by proposing an approach to obtain a monitoring-based... more
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      Civil EngineeringStatisticsStructural ReliabilityBridge Engineering
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    •   4  
      EngineeringUncertainty QuantificationScientific ComputingMathematical Sciences
A stochastic model of the dynamic behavior of sawn timber beams of Ar- gentinean Eucalyptus grandis is herein presented. The aim of this work is to study the influence of the timber knots in the dynamical response of timber beams. The... more
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      Uncertainty QuantificationWood EngineeringFlexible Structures
This chapter is devoted to introducing the theories of interval algebra to people who are interested in applying the interval methods to uncertainty analysis in science and engineering. In view of this purpose, we shall introduce the key... more
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    •   82  
      MathematicsApplied MathematicsRing TheoryField Theory
Quantitative fire risk analysis aims at providing an assessment of fire safety on a scientific basis and taking relevant uncertainties into account in a rational quantitative manner. Under a probabilistic approach, performance measures... more
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      Monte Carlo SimulationHeat TransferStructural Fire SafetyUncertainty Quantification
The present study was undertaken to develop and validate a simple, sensitive, accurate, precise and reproducible UV spectrophotometric method for cefuroxime axetil using methanol as solvent. In this method the simple UV spectrum of... more
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      Discourse AnalysisAnalytical Method DevelopmentUncertainty QuantificationUV/Vis spectroscopy
ABSTRACT The Romanesque “tribune” of the abbey church of Cuxa was probably dismantled in the sixteenth century. No description or representation of this work of art, at the time of its existence, is to be found. It is known today... more
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      Catalan StudiesArchaeological Method & TheoryReasoning about UncertaintySurvey Methodology
This half-day tutorial on Belief function (random sets) for the working scientist was presented on July 9th 2016 at the latest International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-16). The tutorial is very comprehensive (468... more
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    •   44  
      Probability TheoryArtificial IntelligenceStatisticsMultivariate Statistics
Is there room enough in all creation for another 'Empty Universe Theory'? How should we view the realm in which we exist? Are the natures of matter and energy, their compositions and relationships with each other the fundamental key to... more
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      MathematicsPhysicsMetaphysicsMetaphilosophy
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      Method of MomentsInverse ProblemsUncertainty QuantificationKalman Filter
The principal aim of this book is to introduce to the widest possible audience an original view of belief calculus and uncertainty theory. In this geometric approach to uncertainty, uncertainty measures can be seen as points of a suitably... more
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    •   50  
      Applied MathematicsProbability TheoryConvex GeometryArtificial Intelligence
After over 50 years of spaceflight, the calculation of the necessary margin on the thermal protection system of an entering spacecraft remains a largely ad-hoc (in a tactical sense) process governed by engineering judgment. Over the past... more
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      Uncertainty QuantificationHypersonicsSpace Mission Analysis & DesignThermal Protection Systems
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    •   10  
      EngineeringOcean EngineeringNaval EngineeringNaval Architecture
Landslide inventory maps (LIMs) show where landslides have occurred in an area, and provide information useful to different types of landslide studies, including susceptibility and hazard modelling and validation, risk assessment ,... more
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    •   7  
      LandslidesUncertainty QuantificationAerial Photographic InterpretationMapping
With the extensive use of rating systems in the web, and their significance in decision making process by users, the need for more accurate aggregation methods has emerged. The Naïve aggregation method, using the simple mean, is not... more
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      TrustReasoning about UncertaintyReputation (Reputation)Trust Management
In this chapter the basic principles of two methodologies for uncertainty quantification (UQ) are discussed, namely the polynomial chaos method and the collocation method. UQ deals with the propagation of uncertainties through complex... more
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      Computational Fluid DynamicsCollocationUncertainty Quantification
The single most important statement that can be made with regard to the logical status of human and physical geographical reasoning is that it belongs to the class of non-monotonic reasoning. In other words, geographical reasoning is... more
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    •   188  
      Critical TheoryEnvironmental EngineeringIntellectual HistoryLandscape Ecology
Uncertainty quantification was conducted using non – intrusive form of Generalised Polynomial Chaos methods for square inline tube bundles. The input was treated as uncertain. Uncertainties were considered in Reynolds number of the flow... more
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    •   5  
      Machine LearningComputational Fluid DynamicsUncertainty QuantificationSmoothed Particle Hydrodynamics
Stochastic spectral methods are efficient techniques for uncertainty quantification. Recently they have shown excellent performance in the statistical analysis of integrated circuits. In stochastic spectral methods, one needs to determine... more
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      Computational ModellingModeling and SimulationStochastic Dynamic ModelingElectronic Design Automation
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      Seismic HazardForecastingSeismologyMultidisciplinary
We begin by constructing the algebra of classical intervals and prove that it is a nondistributive abelian semiring. Next, we formalize the notion of interval dependency, along with discussing the algebras of two alternate theories of... more
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    •   46  
      MathematicsApplied MathematicsUniversal AlgebraLogic And Foundations Of Mathematics
The validation of a high-fidelity uncertainty quantification of a high-speed catamaran is presented, with focus on irregular wave analysis and approximation methods used in design optimization studies, namely a deterministic regular wave... more
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      EngineeringComputational Fluid DynamicsVerification and ValidationWave Structure Interaction
This study is motivated by the sharp contrast between physical and probabilistic models of civil engineering. The current practice focuses on physical models while probabilistic ones are relatively underdeveloped. This unbalance can even... more
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      Civil EngineeringStatisticsStructural EngineeringClimate Change
A B S T R A C T Stochastic optimization methods, such as genetic algorithms, search for the global minimum of the misfit function within a given parameter range and do not require any calculation of the gradients of the misfit surfaces.... more
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      Uncertainty QuantificationSeismicFull Waveform Inversion
Previous studies of auditory expectation have focused on the expectedness perceived by listeners retrospectively in response to events. In contrast, this research examines predictive uncertainty—a property of listeners' prospective state... more
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      MusicInformation TheoryAuditory PerceptionMusic Cognition
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      Earthquake EngineeringRisk Assessment & Risk ManagementUncertainty QuantificationRisk Analysis
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      Decision MakingUncertainty Quantification
Computer vision is an ever growing discipline whose ambitious goal is to enable machines with the intelligent visual skills humans and animals are provided by Nature, allowing them to interact effortlessly with complex, dynamic... more
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    •   38  
      Probability TheoryArtificial IntelligenceStatisticsBayesian
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      Mechanical EngineeringCivil EngineeringApplied MechanicsUncertainty Quantification
Flood management alternatives are often evaluated on the basis of flood parameters such as depth and velocity. As these parameters are uncertain, so is the evaluation of the alternatives. It is thus important to incorporate the... more
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      Flood Risk ManagementMonte Carlo SimulationMonte CarloHydrologic Modeling
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    •   7  
      Sensitivity AnalysisUncertainty QuantificationOptimizationMultidisciplinary Design Optimization
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    •   8  
      Hellenistic HistoryAncient Greek NumismaticsAncient Roman NumismaticsUncertainty Quantification
Prediction is the key objective of many machine learning applications. Accurate, reliable and robust predictions are essential for optimal and fair decisions by downstream components of artificial intelligence systems, especially in... more
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      Prediction-based Decisions & PlanningMachine LearningBayesianPrediction
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      Geotechnical EngineeringStructural ReliabilityCopulasUncertainty Quantification
Stringer-to-floor beam connections were reported as one of the most fatigue-prone details in riveted steel railway bridges. To detect stiffness degradation that results from the initiation and growth of fatigue cracks, an automated damage... more
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      Artificial IntelligenceStructural EngineeringMachine LearningStructural Dynamics
The Novikov–Furutsu (NF) theorem is a well-known mathematical tool, used in stochastic dynamics for correlation splitting, that is, for evaluating the mean value of the product of a random functional with a Gaussian argument multiplied by... more
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      Stochastic ProcessNonlinear Dynamics and StochasticityUncertainty QuantificationNon-Markovian Dynamics
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      EngineeringUncertainty QuantificationMathematical SciencesMonte Carlo Method
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      Mechanical EngineeringChemical EngineeringUncertainty QuantificationBoundary Conditions
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      Physical ChemistryUncertainty QuantificationMetrology
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      RiskDecision AnalysisOil and gasSocial Perception
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      EngineeringMonte Carlo SimulationUncertainty QuantificationRolling Contact Fatigue
The aim of this thesis is to solve a stochastic inverse problem, related to a model for voice production, using artificial neural networks (ANNs). Th- ree parameters of the model are considered uncertain and random variables are... more
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    •   4  
      Inverse ProblemsUncertainty QuantificationStochastic ModelingVoice Recognition