Structure and Environmental Impact of Global Energy Consumption
Structure and Environmental Impact of Global Energy Consumption
Structure and Environmental Impact of Global Energy Consumption
art ic l e i nf o a b s t r a c t
Article history: This paper presents information on global energy consumption by fuel type (liquid fuels, coal, natural gas,
Received 17 March 2014 renewables and nuclear) and sectors (buildings, industrial, transportation and electricity), and environmental
Received in revised form impact of global energy consumption (SOx, NOx and CO2 emissions). There is a strong relationship between
30 May 2014
energy consumption and economic growth. The Global Financial Crisis has affected the global economic
Accepted 1 July 2014
Available online 26 July 2014
growth violently. The governments have recently adopted some effective measures to fight against the Global
Financial Crisis. The structure of energy consumption and the conditions of SOx, NOx, and CO2 emissions affect
Keywords: the global changes (acid rain and greenhouse effect). Today, considerable effort is being devoted to reduce CO2
Energy consumption emissions because of the Kyoto Protocol on climate change. This publication presents multidisciplinary
Environmental impact
perspectives on the interrelated topics of energy consumption, energy security and energy policy. Additionally,
Fuel
the present study examines the relationship between energy consumption and greenhouse gas emission.
Renewables
Industrial sector & 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Contents
1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 890
2. Structure of global energy consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 891
2.1. Global energy consumption by fuel type . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 891
2.1.1. Liquid fuels. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 892
2.1.2. Coal. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 892
2.1.3. Natural gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 892
2.1.4. Renewables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 893
2.1.5. Nuclear . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 893
2.2. Global energy consumption sectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 893
2.2.1. Buildings sector (residential and commercial) energy consumption. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 893
2.2.2. Industrial sector energy consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 894
2.2.3. Transportation sector energy consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 895
2.2.4. Electricity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 896
2.2.5. Energy losses in sectors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 896
3. Environmental impact of global energy consumption . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 898
3.1. CO2 emissions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 899
3.2. SOx emissions. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 899
3.3. NOx emissions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 900
4. Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 900
Acknowledgment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 900
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 900
1. Introduction
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.004
1364-0321/& 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
S. Bilgen / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 38 (2014) 890–902 891
chemical, thermal, electricity, mechanical, gravitational, nuclear, radi- the industrial development seems to be at a very high demand as
ant, sound, and motion. Energy can be stored, converted and/or revealed from the on-going energy consumption and its antici-
amplified depending on the application. Energy sources can be fossil pated energy requirements as a whole in developed countries in
(petroleum, coal, betumes, natural gas, shale oil, etc.), renewable general and in developing countries of the world in particular. It
(alternative) (biomass, hydro, wind, solar, geothermal, marine, hydro- appears that energy demand will keep increasing but the conven-
gen, etc.) and fissile (uranium, thorium, etc.) [2]. tional sources for generating electricity will deplete with time or
Energy is a special topic because it is a key input to almost all may become environmentally hazardous enhancing global warm-
other consumptions and production processes. Energy is therefore ing. Due to deplete of coal, petroleum and natural gas reserves
a crucial parameter controlling growth and determining many and/or associated world politics, the nuclear energy source is also
aspects of human activity in general [3]. being considered as one of the alternate by the developing
The increases in economical growth of the developing coun- countries but because of its hazardous issues, relatively higher
tries in the last decades have caused rapid increase in energy expenses and technological monopolies, it is not approachable for
consumption. According to Kaygusuz and Bilgen, this trend is most of the countries of the world. Anticipating this decline,
expected to increase in the near future [4]. Energy use is very renewables are being given preferences as alternate and long-
important for people's survival and development. The increases in lasting sources of energy generation. This rational approach is
energy consumption have usually affected to improve life styles environmental friendly and free from the danger of producing
[5]. Consumption is a key lever to achieve more sustainable pollution and health hazards of the people [13].
development. Unsustainable consumption is a major cause of Though global energy demand and resource consumption are
global environmental deterioration, including overexploitation of at a slower rate than in recent years, it is projected to increase over
renewable resources and pollution caused by fossil fuels [6]. the next several decades [14]. The need for energy and fuels is one
Li et al. have recognized a strong relationship between energy of the common threads throughout history and related to devel-
consumption and economic growth. Energy demands of most opment criteria for developing countries. It is vital for consump-
countries declined during the economic depression which caused tion of energy to be used in a productive manner for sustainable
a worldwide economic crisis between 2008 and 2009 [7]. The development due to the increase of petroleum prices recently and
Global Financial Crisis has been called the most serious financial the limited lifetime of fossil fuels [15]. Most of the global increase
crisis since the Great Depression. This crisis has caused a comes from developing countries for energy and population.
significant decline in economic activity [8]. As Lawrence et al., the issues of total energy consumption and
The by-products of energy production, distribution, and con- carbon emissions are inextricably related to the problem of energy
sumption define the single largest environmental loading of inequality among the countries of the world [16].
society when taken together. Awareness of this loading has The world consumption of energy in 1990 was about 1 billion
recently evolved from a focus on point sources of pollution with gigawatts, and now is approaching 10 billion gigawatts. This
point effects to distributed sources with distributed effects [9]. tenfold increase in one century is the product of a threefold
Major problems in global economy are energy and environ- increase in world population and a roughly threefold increase in
mental security. Fossil fuels are confined to a few regions of the average per capita use. The increase in per capita energy use is
world. The continuity of supply is governed by dynamics of linked to the growth of the world economy [9].
political, economical and ecological factors. Increased growth As discussed by Zhang and Conan, the United States maintains
and demand for the welfare of developed and developing coun- a significant volume of demand for energy but its relative
tries is creating a higher pressure on energy resources. A large part consumption share is decreasing over time, from 24.1% in 2010
of new consumers in developing countries have already started to 19.8% by 2050. Japan sustains very high demand in oil with a
purchasing high power so as to be able to access commodity and share of 31.5% in the global market in 2010, 27.7% in 2030, and
energy markets worldwide, thus boosting the energy consumption 24.8% in 2050. Global energy consumption is projected to increase
and competition for all kinds of resources [10]. significantly, growing from 13.6 billion tons of oil equivalent
A projection of the future energy consumption is a vital input to (t.o.e.) in 2010 to 44.6 billion t.o.e. by 2050. Owing to China's
analyze economic, energy, and environmental policies. An outlook on significant and growing role within global energy markets, global
the future energy consumption helps us in deciding on future energy coal demand increases from 3.6 billion t.o.e. in 2010 to 12.9 billion
investment. It is very important that the prediction of future energy t.o.e. in 2050. Global coal energy demand also expands from 26.5%
consumption be as accurate as possible. Since there is no information in 2010 to 28.9% in 2050, with gas and electricity representing a
about the future of industrial structure and level of energy efficiency contracting share of total demand [17].
in each industry for a country, we may start with the assumption that 10% of the population of the world exploits 90% of fossil fuel
it will follow the usual trend observed in the past. This is exactly how resources. Today's energy systems rely heavily on fossil fuel
we have made our projections on the future energy intensity and resources diminishing ever faster. The world must prepare for a
consumption: the projections are based on their historical trend future without fosil fuels. Sustainable energy consumption has
identified by the experience model [11]. become urgent matter for all countries [18].
Energy source is the basic element of socio-economic develop- World energy consumption increases from 524 quadrillion Btu
ment. Energy supply and security has become the major issues of in 2010 to 630 quadrillion Btu in 2020 and 820 quadrillion Btu in
the development of human society and global political and 2040 (Table 1) [19].
economic pattern. Countries in the world have natural resource
endowment conditions and different economic development level. 2.1. Global energy consumption by fuel type
Thus, energy supply and consumption of different countries also
have some geographical differences [12]. If all of the carbon present in the fuel is burned to carbon
dioxide, all of the hydrogen is burned to water, and all of the sulfur
is burned to sulfur dioxidecombustion is complete [20,21]. Saving
2. Structure of global energy consumption fuel is the most important measure for the protection of the
environment and climate. Development will be shaped by saving
In view of the new millennium challenges for the modern resources, decelerating fuel consumption, and supporting technical
faster socio-economic upgradation and adoption of new lifestyle, developments [22].
892 S. Bilgen / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 38 (2014) 890–902
Globally, in view of different factors such as fast depletion of sector dependence on gasoline as petroleum fuel. With the down-
fuel resources, increasing consumption of fossil fuel, uncertainties turn in the world economy and a consequent decline in consump-
with the future availability of fosil fuel, increasing world energy tion, prices collapsed, but the dependence on imported oil
demand, energy and cost saving, increase in pollutants emissions continues as a potential problem. About 40% of the energy
and producing skin diseases and climatic changes (greenhouse, consumed in the United States is supplied by petroleum, and that
heating Earth), many studies have been directed for investigations proportion has remained approximately the same since 1950 [14].
on using different sources of energy instead of oil and its The character and the timing of a global peak in oil production
derivatives. Among them we can cite natural gas and biofuel [2]. are determined by consumption, economics, and technology. Thus,
Many governments and business executives around the world assertive predictions of peak production are nearly untenable
have ambitious plans towards changing their energy mix and because it requires the predictor to have an excellent grasp of
investment plans. These plans include more renewables and more these three determinants, even going into the future. Some opti-
low-carbon energy. However, the global energy mix is still likely to mists run a foul even of the physical limits of the known universe,
be dominated by fossil fuels in the foreseeable future [23]. let alone of our Earth. Of course, far short of the limits of the
The use of all energy sources increases over the time horizon of universe, oil and gas extraction are defined by Earthly limits [25].
the AEO2014 and AEO2013 Reference case (Table 2). The impor-
tance of energy security, the harmful effects of fosil fuel emissions,
2.1.2. Coal
and the increase of oil prices support use of nuclear power and
Coal is overwhelmingly abundant and more widely distributed
renewable energy over the projection. Policies and incentives of
in some countries in comparison with oil and natural gas, There-
governments improve the prospects for non-fossil forms of energy
fore, it is important to utilize the coal efficiently and cleanly
in many countries in the world in the Outlook [24].
[26,27].
Consumption of coal in 1950 was 35% of the total. This
2.1.1. Liquid fuels proportion is almost equal to oil. It declined to about 20% a decade
The liquid is composed of a very complex mixture of oxyge- later and has remained at about that proportion since then. Coal
nated hydrocarbons determined its composition intrinsically by currently is used almost exclusively for electric power generation.
the rate of reaction and product quenching, and extrinsically by Consumption of coal has more than doubled since 1950, but
the feed composition [20]. during that period coal as an energy source changed from a widely
The major source of energy is petroleum, rising from about 38% used resource to a single-use fuel for generating electricity. The
in 1950 to 45% in 1975, and then declining to about 40% in electric power sector consumed less than 20% of the half-billion
response to the energy crisis of the 1970s. The transportation tons of coal burned in 1950 and used more than 90% of the billion-
plus tons consumed in 2007 [14].
Coal dominates the United States fossil energy endowment and
Table 1 accounts for 48% of domestic electricity generation. Coal is
World energy consumption by country grouping, 2010–2040 (quadrillion Btu).
Source: Ref. [19].
currently the most important fuel for electricity generation.
Studies will determine what portion of the resource base is
Region 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average annual technically and economically recoverable [14].
percent change
2010–2040
2.1.3. Natural gas
OECD 242 244 255 263 269 276 285 0.5 Natural gas might be considered a very uninteresting, colorless,
Americas 120 121 126 130 133 137 144 0.6
shapeless and odorless gas in its pure form. Natural gas is
Europe 82 82 85 89 91 93 95 0.5
Asia 40 41 43 44 45 46 46 0.5 combustible, gives off a great deal of energy when burned. It is
Non-OECD 282 328 375 418 460 501 535 2.2 clean and emits lower levels of pollutants into the air unlike other
Europe and 47 50 53 57 61 65 67 1.2 fossil fuels. From the chemical viewpoint, natural gas consists of a
Eurasia
mixture of inorganic gases and saturated hydrocarbons that occurs
Asia 159 194 230 262 290 317 337 2.5
Middle East 28 33 37 39 43 46 49 1.9
in gaseous state at environmental temperature and pressure [2].
Africa 19 20 22 24 27 31 35 2.1 Consumption of natural gas was almost four times as great in
Central and 29 31 33 35 39 42 47 1.6 2007 as it was in 1950 [14]. Some countries have sufficient natural
South gas reserves. They are in a good position to export this valuable
America
fuel. The ration of proven (or, in some cases, estimated) reserves to
World 524 572 630 680 729 777 820 1.5
the annual total energy consumption can provide such countries
Table 2
Comparison of projections in the AEO2014 and AEO2013 Reference cases, 2011–2040.
Source: Ref. [24].
Petroleum and other liquid fuels 36.56 35.87 36.28 36.87 35.35 36.07
Natural gas 24.91 26.20 28.97 27.28 32.32 29.83
Coal 19.62 17.34 19.03 19.35 18.75 20.35
Nuclear/uranium 8.26 8.05 8.15 9.54 8.49 9.44
Hydropower 3.11 2.67 2.84 2.86 2.90 2.92
Biomass 2.60 2.53 3.74 3.82 4.26 4.91
Other renewable energy 1.70 1.97 3.09 2.32 3.89 3.84
Other 0.35 0.39 0.35 0.30 0.35 0.29
Total 97.11 95.02 102.45 102.34 106.31 107.64
S. Bilgen / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 38 (2014) 890–902 893
with a useful indicator for assessing whether they can initiate or 2.1.5. Nuclear
expand exports of natural gas [28]. Nuclear power does not lead to emission of greenhouse gases.
Natural gas produces lower emissions of carbon dioxide than coal In electricity generating plant, replacement of any fossil fuel by a
or oil for equivalent amounts of energy supplied. Therefore, it has nuclear one will reduce emission of greenhouse gases. Such a
emerged as a highly desirable fuel. The ratio of proven natural gas of a reduction of greenhouse gas emissions and the reduction of
country reserves to its total energy consumption is a good indicator of emission of greenhouse gases by improvement of end use effi-
its ability to improve its air quality situation or address greenhouse ciency (loosely called energy conservation) are independent of
gas reduction targets from domestic natural gas sources [29]. each other. Both can be partially effective. It is stupid to reject
either because it will not do the whole job. If the effect of rising
greenhouse gas concentrations is as bad as most scientists fear,
2.1.4. Renewables both are necessary [29].
Renewable energy sources have been important for humans Nuclear power has started to become popular in the late 1960s.
since the beginning of civilization [30]. Renewables are the fastest In the midst of the oil crisis, it was supplying 9% of total electricity
growing source of world energy consumption. The increased generation. Continuation of some construction increased the
attention on renewable energy sources can be attributed to a nuclear share of generation to 20% in 1990 [14]. There were 437
number of factors. The recent concerns over the volatility of oil nuclear power reactors in operation at the beginning of 2010.
prices, the dependency on foreign energy sources, and the envir- Eleven construction starts were made in 2009. Ten of these
onmental consequences of carbon emissions are all contributing constructions are in Asia. In 2009, the United States Nuclear
factors to the current interest in renewable energy sources. More- Regulatory Commission approved eight license renewals of 20
over, the emergence of government policies such as renewable years each, bringing the number of approved renewals to 59.
energy production tax credits, installation rebates for renewable License renewals were either granted or being processed in several
energy systems, renewable energy portfolio standards, and the other countries. The post-2000 trend of license renewals or
establishment of markets for renewable energy certificates have extensions for many operating reactors continued, especially in
been critical in the promotion of renewable energy as a viable the USA [32].
component of the energy portfolio for various countries [31].
Renewable energy sources (except hydropower) continue to 2.2. Global energy consumption sectors
offer more potential than actual energy production The role of
hydropower in electricity generation has gradually declined, from Energy Information Administration's (EIA's) portfolio of data
30% in 1950 to 15% in 1975 and less than 10% in 2000. However, collections includes three surveys of energy-consuming end use
hydropower remains highly important on a regional basis [14]. sectors: the Commercial Buildings energy Consumption Survey
Renewable energy is the fastest growing source in electricity (CBECS), the Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS), and
generation. Total generation from renewable resources increases the Manufacturing Energy Consumption Survey. Prior to 1994, EIA
by 2.8% annually, and the renewable share of world electricity also conducted a transportation energy use survey, the Residential
generation increases from 21% in 2010 to 25% in 2040. About 80 Transportation Energy Consumption Survey, but budget cuts
percent of this increase is in hydroelectric and wind power forced this data collection to be discontinued after 1994 [33].
(Table 3) [19]. The demand for energy in areas as varied as industry or
transport means that a new paradigm in the way fuels. The need
Table 3 to promote energy security and policy as key themes during the
OECD and non-OECD net renewable electricity generation by energy source, 2010–
twenty-first century is greater than ever [23].
2040 (billion kilowatthours).
Source: Ref. [19]. In the times of globalization, international trade is playing a
vital role in shaping the world energy profile by redistributing the
Region 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average energy embodied in industrial products in the economy. The
annual leakage effects associated with indirect energy use at the global
percent
scale are overlooked because traditional analyses are usually
change
2010–2040 focusing on direct energy use [34].
OECD
Hydroelectric 1338 1412 1497 1574 1661 1749 1841 1.1 2.2.1. Buildings sector (residential and commercial) energy
Wind 269 531 718 855 903 961 1052 4.7 consumption
Geothermal 41 52 68 79 93 104 115 3.5 The buildings sector represents energy use in places where
Solar 32 123 145 165 181 211 253 7.1
people reside, work, and buy goods and services. The sector
Other 263 290 346 373 385 401 426 1.6
Total OECD 1943 2408 2774 3046 3222 3426 3687 2.2 excludes industrial facilities used for producing, processing, or
assembling goods. In 2010, the buildings sector accounted for
Non-OECD
Hydroelectric 2064 2393 2955 3188 3516 3943 4390 2.6 more than one-fifth of total worldwide consumption of delivered
Wind 73 235 418 527 641 733 787 8.3 energy [19].
Geothermal 25 60 65 67 78 91 105 4.9 Many governments have introduced regulations to make build-
Solar 1 34 95 124 146 183 199 18.6 ings more energy-efficient. Policies and research on energy con-
Other 69 137 202 270 344 400 432 6.3
Total non- 2232 2859 3736 4177 4725 5350 5914 3.3
servation in buildings are geared primarily to saving energy
OECD through technical measures relating to the building envelope
and the heating and ventilation installations [35]. Energy-saving
World
Hydroelectric 3402 3805 4452 4762 5177 5692 6232 2.0 designs do not always result in the expected energy consumption
Wind 342 767 1136 1383 1544 1694 1839 5.8 [36,37].
Geothermal 66 112 133 146 171 195 220 4.1 Energy consumption in housing and building is a key issue for
Solar 34 157 240 288 327 394 452 9.1 sustainability, primarily because it contributes to the depletion
Other 332 427 549 643 729 800 858 3.2
Total World 4175 5267 6509 7222 7948 8775 9601 2.8
of non-renewable fossil fuels and the production of carbon
dioxide (CO2) and other pollutions. Energy use in houses and
894 S. Bilgen / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 38 (2014) 890–902
constructed accounts for many of the difficulties in moving towards OECD 20.2 20.9 22.0 23.2 24.4 25.5 26.5 0.9
sustainable consumption and production (SCP), both present and Americas 9.8 10.1 10.5 10.9 11.5 12.0 12.6 0.8
future. Buildings have a long lifetime. This domain is a major target Europe 6.5 6.9 7.4 7.8 8.3 8.6 9.0 1.1
for any structural change in consumption patterns [3]. Asia 3.9 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 0.8
Non-OECD 8.8 9.9 11.7 13.9 16.5 19.4 22.5 3.2
Energy use in the residential sector is defined as the energy
Europe and 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.8 1.8
consumed by households, excluding transportation uses. In the Eurasia
residential sector, energy is used for equipment and to provide Asia 4.2 4.9 6.0 7.4 9.1 11.0 13.1 3.9
heating, cooling, lighting, water heating, and other household Middle East 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.4
demands. All of energy consumption, income, and energy prices Africa 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 3.5
Central and 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.4 3.1
affect the way energy consumed in the residential sector. However, South
residential energy use is affected by factors such as location, America
building and household characteristics, weather, type and effi- World 28.9 30.8 33.6 37.1 40.9 44.8 49.0 1.8
ciency of equipment, energy access, availability of energy sources,
and energy-related policies. As a result, the type and amount of
energy use by households can vary widely within and across
regions and countries [19]. Residential buildings have continu- 30–57% of the energy consumed by households is spent on space
ously improved in efficiency. Though materials with better ther- and domestic water heating, conservation in this area is a matter of
mal properties and more efficient systems have lowered energy vital importance [35]. In a context marked by a growing effort to
consumption for space heating in recent decades, substantial create sustainable development strategies, much of the research
differences in energy consumption are still being observed in focuses on energy related issues in the built environment [41].
similar dwellings [35,38,39]. World residential delivered energy
consumption increases by 57% from 2010 to 2040 (Table 4) [19].
Energy consumption in the commercial sector focuses on 2.2.2. Industrial sector energy consumption
heating and cooling systems, lights, water heaters, and other Industrial promotion is a major priority for the governments of
equipment in the buildings located businesses, institutions, and many developing countries. Industrial development can make
other organizations. Schools, retail stores, restaurants, hotels, significant beneficial contributions to a country's overall economic
hospitals, office buildings, and leisure and recreational facilities development by providing jobs, promoting socio-economic infra-
can be given as examples of commercial sector buildings. The structure and so on. However, by its very nature, industrial
commercial sector included some nonbuilding energy use con- development can also have profound impact on the environment.
tributes to such public services as traffic lights and water and All industrial require use of natural resources, many of which are
sewer systems. Total world delivered commercial sector energy limited, such as water, and so can directly affect local ecosystems.
consumption grows at an average annual rate of 1.8% from 2010 to The conversion of natural resources to finished or semi-finished
2040, making it the fastest-growing demand sector (Table 5) [19]. products results in residues that are often discharged as wastes.
In Europe the built environment consumes 40% of the produced These wastes in solid, liquid and gaseous forms can be detrimental
energy. A large proportion of this energy is consumed in residential to the quality of life by adversely affecting land, water and air
buildings. Households account for about 30% of the total building- resources [42].
related energy consumption in OECD countries [40]. As around In Industrial and Post-Industrial Nations like those in North
America and in Europe, or in Industrializing Nations like China,
India, and Brazil, there are universally recognizable economic
Table 4
sectors that consume energy for productive purposes. Prior to
Residential sector delivered energy consumption by region, 2010–2040 the first extensive use of fossil fuels, firewood and animal power
(quadrillion Btu). provided most of the energy input needed to satisfy society. As
Source: Ref. [19]. populations grew and advanced economically and socially, it
became apparent that more intensive and more portable energy
Region 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average annual
percent change sources would be needed to support wide-scale mechanization.
2010–2040 Wind and water power, and charcoal answered that challenge
initially, but it was coal that permitted tremendous expansion of
OECD 28.2 28.1 29.0 29.9 30.8 31.3 32.0 0.4 industry. The fact that coal had been accumulated and intensified
Americas 13.2 12.8 12.9 13.2 13.5 13.9 14.2 0.3
Europe 11.7 11.9 12.5 13.1 13.5 13.7 13.9 0.6
over millions of years made it a source that dwarfed the biomass
Asia 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 0.5 fuels, where the forests only represented a few hundred years of
Non-OECD 23.9 27.0 30.8 35.1 40.0 45.0 49.8 2.5 accumulation [25].
Europe and 6.3 6.3 6.7 7.1 7.7 8.1 8.6 1.0 With new products and increasing affluence, the composition
Eurasia
of production is changing such that industrial energy and materi-
Asia 10.6 12.8 15.6 18.7 22.2 25.9 29.6 3.5
Middle East 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.8 1.2 als consumption are growing more slowly than the economy.
Africa 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.2 2.4 Technological progress tends to reduce the overall energy and
Central and 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.7 2.1 materials requirements for each industrial process. This relatively
South rosy scenario faces serious difficulties, however; industrial deci-
America
World 52.0 55.1 59.8 65.0 70.8 76.3 81.8 1.5
sion makers strongly discount future expenditures for energy
for a variety of reasons. In addition, many slow-growing heavy
S. Bilgen / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 38 (2014) 890–902 895
industries may not have the capital and technical capabilities to aerodynamics, optimized design, and higher performance. Both the
invest in the best new production processes. For these reasons it is population of the world and the demand for transportation have been
important to develop public policies to encourage the develop- continuously increasing. Transport has become the basic foundation of
ment and dissemination of more-efficient process technologies, the economy in all countries. In the course of this process, the
and to assist energy-intensive industries to modernize, for exam- environment and the climate have been changing in a remarkable
ple through utility demand-side management progams [29]. way and in turn have influenced transport. The number of motor
It is very important to improve energy efficiency in all indus- vehicles, ships, and airplanes is rapidly rising, especially in fast
trial sectors. The overall aim is to decrease the greenhouse gas developing countries. Parallel to this, the amount of oil products
emissions, ensure the energy security and improve the industrial consumed and the mass of pollutants emitted are intensively increas-
output and competitiveness. In the end part of the production ing. Transport burns most of the petroleum of the world and emits
chain, the conscious customers in the industrialized countries the most air pollution, including unburned hydrocarbons, carbon
have woken up by the threats of global warming, changed their monoxide, nitrous oxides, and particles. It is the fastest growing
consuming habits and started to demand green and sustainable consumption and emission sector on Earth. This leads to significant
products and services. The uncertainty about global fossil energy environmental and health problems especially in large cities and is a
reserves and their availability in the long run is increasing the major contributor to global warming because of emissions of carbon
awareness for the development of clean and renewable energy dioxide [22].
resources and optimized energy use to prevent waste [43]. Modifications in energy demand or supply will cause indirect
There are cases of energy consumption that is identified as impacts in many other domains. For example, raised prices for
industrial consumption but not clarified as the consumption of a energy tend to make activities more local through rising the costs
specific disaggregated industrial sector. In such cases, the energy of transportation [3].
consumption is accounted for under the non-specified industry A new sustainable path is required, which focuses on reason-
classification [44]. able mass transport at a reasonable price, short travel times with
Energy consumption worldwide by the industrial sector is
expected to grow from 200 quadrillion Btu in 2010 to 307
quadrillion Btu in 2040, increasing by an average of 1.4% per year. Table 7
Transportation use of petroleum, 1950–2007 (million barrels per day).
Most of the long-term growth in industrial sector delivered energy
Source: Ref. [14].
consumption occurs in the non-OECD countries (Table 6) [19].
Aviation Diesel Fuel Gasoline Other Total
2.2.3. Transportation sector energy consumption
1950 0.1 0.2 2.4 0.6 3.4
Since the transportation sector is so heavily dependent on
1955 0.3 0.4 3.2 0.5 4.5
petroleum Table 7 present a more detailed breakdown of the 1960 0.5 0.4 3.7 0.4 5.1
various types of petroleum used. Most of the petroleum consumed 1965 0.7 0.5 4.4 0.4 6.0
in the transportation sector is motor gasoline. In 1950, it was 71% 1970 1.0 0.7 5.6 0.4 7.8
of total sector petroleum consumption. It has been about 65% in 1975 1.0 1.0 6.5 0.4 9.0
1980 1.1 1.3 6.4 0.7 9.5
recent years [14]. 1985 1.2 1.5 6.7 0.4 9.8
The higher demand for transportation could be fulfilled with the 1990 1.5 1.7 7.1 0.5 10.9
assistance of new technologies, new materials and highly intell- 1995 1.5 2.0 7.7 0.5 11.7
igent hardware and software systems. Additionally, navigation and 2000 1.7 2.4 8.4 0.5 13.0
2005 1.7 2.9 8.9 0.5 14.0
active communication systems can optimally and safely regulate the
2006 1.7 3.0 9.0 0.5 14.2
increasing traffic. Vehicles, airplanes and ships are becoming more 2007 1.6 3.0 9.1 0.5 14.3
and more efficient, i.e., lighter and more intelligent, with improved
Table 6
World industrial sector delivered energy consumption by region and energy source, 2010–2040 (quadrillion Btu).
Source: Ref. [19].
Region 2010 2015 2020 2025 2035 2040 Average annual percent change
1990–2010 2010–2040
a
Other liquids here refers to natural gas liquids and those derived from the Fischer–Tropsch process.
b
Includes biomass used for combined heat and power operations as well as biomass for process heat.
896 S. Bilgen / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 38 (2014) 890–902
optimal connections, positive impacts in safety, and improvements and commercial sectors of society. It is almost unimaginable to
in sustainability. Good examples are needed worldwide. Transpor- lack access to electricity for heating, cooling, lighting, working on
tation could be improved with the introduction of carbon taxes, computers, and watching TV shows. Electricity is the “most
higher fuel efficiency standards and the use of new kinds of fuels. convenient, most flexible, and most useful of energies.” Flip a
It is not enough to produce biogenic and synthetic fuels, although light switch and a whole room can be illuminated. Plug in an air
they can be optimally used in road vehicles, airplanes and ships, conditioner, turn it on, and a hot, sweltering day becomes manage-
because they have their own additional problems. On the one side, able for working, playing or even sleeping [25].
their utilization lowers the consumption of fossil fuels, but on the Coal was used to generate about half the rapidly increasing
other side, their exaggerated use could contribute to the destruc- amount of electricity consumed. Petroleum became briefly impor-
tion of agriculture and the landscape [22]. tant as a source of power generation in the late 1960s because it
The higher comfort level and safety of new vehicles, airplanes resulted in lower emissions of air pollutants, and consumption
and ships also contributes to more sustainability in transportation. continued in the 1970s despite the price surge because natural gas
Regarding fuel consumption and emission characteristics, regula- was in short supply. By the 1980s, however, oil consumption by
tions have been intensively expanded in the last 20 years. Energy utilities dropped sharply, and in 2007 only 1.2% of power genera-
use and emissions vary greatly between several modes of trans- tion was oil-fired. Natural gas generation has a more complicated
portation. Electrification and energy efficiency of transport must history. Consumption by the electric power industry increased
be increased in the next decades. However, the introduction of gradually as access by pipeline became more widespread. Nuclear
new technology will not happen suddenly but only gradually [22]. power started coming on line in significant amounts in the late
Less than optimal measures to order intensive fuel saving could 1960s, and 1975, in the midst of the oil crisis, was supplying 9% of
cause major economic losses. Fuel substitution in transportation total generation. Construction of major hydroelectric projects has
has high investment costs in comparison to other sectors of the also essentially ceased, and hydropower's share of electricity
economy. Therefore, besides technology, a sustainable strategy generation has gradually declined from 30% in 1950 to 15% in
requires the increased use of renewable energy resources, world- 1975 and less than 10% in 2000. However, hydropower remains
wide intelligent navigation measures, common international reg- highly important on a regional basis. Sources of power generation
ulations, and voluntary agreements between governments, civil, vary greatly by region [14].
and international organizations limiting fuel consumption and World net electricity generation increases by 93% from 20.2
exhaust gas emissions. Transportation will grow very intensively trillion kilowatthours in 2010 to 39.0 trillion kilowatthours in 2040
over the next few decades in comparison to other sectors of the (Table 9). Electricity is the world's fastest-growing form of delivered
economy, especially in the rapidly developing countries [22]. energy. World electricity delivered to end users rises by 2.2% per
Transportation accounts for about 20% of the global primary year from 2010 to 2040 [19].
energy consumption and about 18% of the total anthropogenic
greenhouse gas emissions. Road transport accounts for 72% of the
total energy use within the world's transportation sector and for 2.2.5. Energy losses in sectors
more than 80% of the total CO2 emissions. In the period 1990– Losses occur when the efficiency of a device or process deviates
2005, the energy requirements for transportation increased 37%, from the efficiency that would occur if the device or process were
making transportation the fastest growing energy sector [45]. ideal. The value of a loss is a measure of this deviation from
World energy consumption in the transportation sector ideality.
increases by an average of 1.1% per year (Table 8). The most Energy losses are not necessarily indicative of a deviation from
important components of transportation sector energy used ideality. For instance, some processes lose heat to the surround-
throughout the projection are petroleum and other liquid fuels. ings, but if this heat is emitted at the temperature of the
Most of the growth in transportation energy use occurs in the non- surroundings the loss does not lead to an irreversibility. Conver-
OECD nations. It increases by an average of 2.2% per year from sely, some processes have no energy losses, such as the combus-
2010 to 2040 (Table 8) [19]. tion of fuel in air in an isolated vessel, yet the process is highly
irreversible and therefore non-ideal [46]. The low efficient heating
system leads to enormous energy loss and causes a serious
2.2.4. Electricity problem of environmental pollution [47]. Building sector account
Electricity is essential to power industrialized and industrializ- for the most energy loss waste on earth, owing to the low thermal
ing economies. It affects nearly every aspect of daily modern living, insulation level of the envelopes, high thermal dispersions and
and indeed is an essential element to the industrial, residential, minimum exploitation of the climatic resources. The primary
Table 8
World transportation sector delivered energy consumption by region, 2010–2040 (quadrillion Btu).
Source: Ref. [19].
Region 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Average annual percent change
2010–2040
Table 12
Projected environmental impact of 400 000 new housing units.
Source: Ref. [58].
Density (acres Land used Vehicle miles traveled per Fuel used (thousands of CO NOx CO2 VOCs Impact on land Impact on air
per unit) (thousands of year (thousands) gallons per year) consumption (%) qality (%)
acres)
5 2000 12000 000 413793 422068 29379 6620 689 56275 100.0 100.0
1 400 11000 000 379310 386896 26931 6068 965 51586 20.0 92.0
0.125 50 6000 000 206896 211034 14 689 3310 344 28137 2.5 50.0
0.02 8 3200 000 110344 112551 7834 1765 517 15006 0.4 27.0
emissions without incurring real cost and promise potential net Table 13
benefits. The continued growth of global emissions and their OECD and non-OECD energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by fuel type, 1990–
possible adverse effects on global warming have shifted focus to 2040 (billion metric tons).
Source: Ref. [19].
relative contribution in total emissions and size of relative efforts
undertaken by countries to mitigate these emissions [73]. Region/ 1990 2010 2020 2030 2040 Average annual percent
The further increase of CO2 will lead to disastrous effects on the country change, 2010–2040
Environment. The emission of SOx and NOx and suspended
particulate matters will substantially contribute to exasperate OECD 11.6 13.1 13.0 13.4 13.9 0.2
Liquid 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.7 0.1
the effect on the environment [74]. fuels
Natural 2.0 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.1 1.1
3.1. CO2 emissions gas
Coal 4.1 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.0 0.2
Non-OECD 9.8 18.1 23.4 28.1 31.6 1.9
CO2 is the most important Green House Gas that originates
Liquid 3.6 5.4 6.6 7.7 9.0 1.7
from the burning of hydrocarbons, decomposition of biomass, e.g., fuels
from plants as well as from the respiration processes of humans Natural 2.0 3.2 3.8 4.9 6.0 2.2
and animals [22]. gas
The industrial revolution in the eighteenth and nineteenth Coal 4.2 9.6 13.0 15.5 16.6 1.8
World 21.5 31.2 36.4 41.5 45.5 1.3
century has had a profound impact on every aspect of human total
activity. A by-product of this revolution has been the massive
generation of greenhouse gases, most importantly, CO2. There has
been a consistent increase of anthropogenic CO2 emissions since to mitigate greenhouse gas accumulation include avoiding defor-
the beginning of the industrial revolution. Over the period of estation or protecting existing forests, planting new forest area,
2000–2008, there has been an acceleration of CO2 emissions decreasing harvest intensity, increasing forest growth, increasing
associated with strong economic growth in China and other Asian carbon storage in harvested wood products (HWP), using wood
countries yielding increased demand for coal-based electricity and biomass for energy to replace fossil fuels, and substituting wood
petroleum based cars and trucks. In 2008, humanity emitted for fossil-fuel intensive products [78].
almost 30 billion tons of CO2. Emissions of such a magnitude are Energy consumption is an important component of the global
unsustainable, and if not dramatically reduced, can yield poten- climate change debate because much of the world's anthropogenic
tially catastrophic climate change [75]. greenhouse gas emissions relate carbon dioxide emissions. World
Climate change is becoming more evident to everybody and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions increase from 31.2 billion
there is an urgent need for action. The need for a worldwide metric tons in 2010 to 36.4 billion metric tons in 2020 and 45.5
reduction of CO2 emissions is only sporadically doubted. The billion metric tons in 2040 (Table 13) [19]. In 2003 China emitted
required extent of this reduction is also largely clear. However, an estimated 3.5 Gt of CO2, compared with 5.8 Gt by the United
there is continuing argument over how much contribution to this States, but by 2010 China had increased its emissions to 8.95 Gt
should be made by the individual countries and regions of the whereas those of the United States had decreased to 5.25 Gt,
world. Measurable indicators based on the two main aspects, though China's per capita emissions are still 2.5 times less than
namely energy efficiency and CO2 intensity, should enable the those of the USA (see Table 14) [79].
efforts to be judged equitably [76].
The researchers explore two major environmental concerns
that arise from fuel use: the globe will become warmer as a result 3.2. SOx emissions
of emissions of carbon dioxide, and the effect upon health of the
fine particles emitted as combustion products. There was lack of SOx are the oxides of sulfur. Coal and petroleum often contain
data direct enough to enable us to predict an entirely satisfactory sulfur. Therefore, combustion of coal and petroleum generates SOx.
result, and that makes policy options particularly difficult. In the These SOx are harmful to the environment, as their further
second half of the 20th century, there were major increases in oxidation produces H2SO4, leading to acid rain. The utilization of
anthropogenic CO2 emissions, and it is generally agreed that these SOx has increased in recent decades due to its specific utility as a
were responsible for an increase in CO2 concentrations [77]. preservative, reducing agent, refrigerant, reagent, solvent in
The role of forest sector in sequestering atmospheric carbon laboratories, etc. This has brought an unpleasant change in the
dioxide have long been recognized by scientists and policy makers, environment shaken the experts. Its contribution to global warm-
and interest in using forests in climate change mitigation efforts ing is huge. The oxides of sulfur are considered to be one of the
has been growing. Examples of how the forest sector can be used major GHGs that contribute to global warming [80].
900 S. Bilgen / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 38 (2014) 890–902
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