「MATCH」を含む日記 
はてなキーワード: MATCHとは
2025-02-07
■Best Dating App Opening Lines
Let’s face it: starting a conversation on a dating app can feel terrifying. You see someone you’re interested in, you type out a message, and then… you delete it. “Is this too boring?” “Will they even respond?” “What if I sound awkward?”
We’ve all been there. That first message can make or break your chances of connecting with someone amazing. But here’s the good news: you don’t have to overthink it. With the right opening line, you can spark a conversation that feels natural, fun, and meaningful.
At MixerDates, we believe that every great connection starts with a great conversation. That’s why we’ve put together this guide to help you craft the best dating app opening lines—ones that stand out, show your personality, and lead to real connections. Ready to ditch the “hey” and start making an impact? Let’s dive in!
[:contents]
Why Your First Message Matters
Before we get into the best opening lines, let’s talk about why your first message is so important.
1. First Impressions Count
Your opening line is your chance to make a great first impression. It’s the gateway to a conversation that could lead to something special. A thoughtful, creative message shows that you’re genuinely interested—not just swiping mindlessly.
2. It Sets the Tone
Your first message sets the tone for the entire conversation. A boring or generic opener might lead to a dull chat, while a fun or intriguing one can spark excitement and curiosity.
3. It Shows Effort
Let’s be real: everyone loves feeling special. When you put effort into your opening line, it shows that you care enough to stand out. And on MixerDates, where we value authenticity and positivity, that effort goes a long way.
The Best Dating App Opening Lines (And Why They Work)
Now, let’s get to the good stuff—the best dating app opening lines that actually work. These are divided into categories to suit different personalities and situations.
1. The Playful Opener
- Why It Works: Humor is a universal icebreaker. It shows you’re fun and don’t take yourself too seriously.
2. The Compliment Opener
3. The Question Opener
- Why It Works: Questions encourage engagement and give the other person something interesting to respond to.
4. The Shared Interest Opener
- Why It Works: It shows you’ve paid attention to their profile and creates an instant connection over shared interests.
5. The Bold Opener
- Example: “I’ll be honest—I swiped right because you seem like someone who’d make a great partner in crime. What’s the most adventurous thing you’ve ever done?”
6. The Quirky Opener
Tips for Crafting Your Own Opening Lines
While the examples above are great starting points, the best opening lines are the ones that feel authentic to you. Here are some tips to help you craft your own:
1. Personalize It
Reference something from their profile—a photo, a hobby, or a shared interest. It shows you’re paying attention and not just copying and pasting.
2. Keep It Light and Fun
Avoid heavy or overly serious topics right off the bat. Keep the tone light and playful to make the conversation enjoyable.
3. Be Yourself
Don’t try to be someone you’re not. If you’re naturally funny, lean into that. If you’re more thoughtful, go for a sincere compliment or question.
4. Avoid Clichés
“Hey” or “What’s up?” might be easy, but they’re also forgettable. Put in a little effort to stand out.
5. End with a Question
This gives the other person an easy way to respond and keeps the conversation flowing.
Why MixerDates is the Perfect Place to Practice Your Opening Lines
At MixerDates, we’re all about creating a positive, inclusive space where you can feel comfortable being yourself. Here’s why our platform is the best place to put these opening lines into practice:
1. A Welcoming Community
We welcome everyone, no matter who you are or who you love. Our platform is designed to be a safe space where you can connect with like-minded people.
2. Profiles That Spark Conversations
Our users create detailed profiles that make it easy to find shared interests and craft personalized opening lines.
3. A Focus on Authenticity
We encourage our community to be genuine and kind, so you can feel confident starting conversations without fear of judgment or rejection.
4. Success Stories
Don’t just take our word for it—here’s what one of our users had to say:
“I met my partner on MixerDates, and it all started with a simple message about our shared love for travel. The conversation flowed naturally, and the rest is history. I’m so grateful for this platform!”
Key Elements to Finding a Mutual Connection
While a great opening line can spark a conversation, building a real connection takes more than just a clever message. Here are the key elements to look for when seeking a meaningful connection:
1. Shared Values and Goals
A strong connection starts with alignment on the things that matter most. Do you share similar values, life goals, or visions for the future?
2. Emotional Availability
Look for someone who is willing to share their thoughts, feelings, and vulnerabilities—and who encourages you to do the same.
3. Mutual Effort
Healthy relationships are a two-way street. Both people should be putting in effort to communicate, plan dates, and support each other.
4. Respect for Individuality
A true connection allows both people to be themselves without judgment. Look for someone who celebrates your uniqueness and encourages you to pursue your passions.
5. Open and Honest Communication
Communication is the foundation of any strong relationship. A mutual connection thrives on honesty, transparency, and the ability to resolve conflicts in a healthy way.
At MixerDates, we’re here to help you find these key elements in a partner. Our platform is designed to connect you with people who share your values and are looking for the same things you are. Starting a conversation on a dating app doesn’t have to be stressful. With the right opening line, you can spark a connection that feels natural, fun, and meaningful. And at MixerDates, we’re here to help you every step of the way.
So, what are you waiting for? Craft that perfect opening line, join MixerDates, and start connecting with people who value authenticity and positivity. Your perfect match is out there—and they’re just one message away.
■How to Flirt on a First Date Without Feeling Awkward
First dates can be exciting and nerve-wracking all at once. You’re meeting someone new, learning about their interests, and trying to figure out if there’s chemistry between you. And then there’s flirting, that delicate dance of showing someone you’re interested without being too forward or awkward.
Flirting doesn’t have to be a high-pressure situation. In fact, it can be the most fun part of getting to know someone. Whether you're meeting someone on MixerDates or any other platform, the most important thing is to be genuine, stay calm, and let the connection develop naturally.
If you’ve ever found yourself wondering how to flirt on a first date without feeling uncomfortable, you’re not alone. Everyone has their awkward moments, but the more you understand the art of flirting, the easier it becomes. In this article, we’ll break down how to flirt in a way that feels natural, exciting, and authentic to who you are. So, let's dive in and learn how to make the most of your first date experience—without overthinking it.
Confidence: The Foundation of Flirting
When it comes to flirting, confidence is key. But what does it really mean to be confident on a first date? Confidence doesn’t mean you need to be perfect, or even outgoing—it simply means being comfortable in your own skin and showing up as your authentic self.
Have you ever noticed how people are drawn to those who radiate self-assurance? It’s not about bragging or dominating the conversation—it’s about presenting yourself with ease. If you feel good about yourself, it will naturally show. A great smile, good posture, and eye contact can go a long way in making a good first impression.
For instance, think about the last time someone walked into a room and immediately caught your attention—not because they were the most attractive person in the room, but because of their energy. They were confident, they were present, and they made you feel at ease. That’s the kind of confidence you want to project on your date.
When you're confident, you're not worried about saying the perfect thing. Instead, you focus on enjoying the moment, making the other person feel comfortable, and letting the connection happen naturally. That’s the magic of confidence—it allows you to be present, fun, and, most importantly, yourself.
The Power of Subtlety
Let’s face it—no one wants to feel like they’re being “worked” or put through a game. That’s why subtlety is such a powerful tool when it comes to flirting. It's all about showing interest without being over-the-top or too obvious.
Flirting doesn’t always mean complimenting someone non-stop or using cheesy pickup lines. In fact, the most successful flirting is the kind that happens behind the scenes—subtle, playful, and lighthearted. Think about the little moments, like a teasing comment about how they always order the same thing at a restaurant or the way you laugh at a silly joke they make.
The key is to find a balance. A simple smile or a playful comment can convey interest without being too much. For example, if your date tells you they love hiking but they tend to get lost easily, you could say something like, “So, you’re telling me you need a personal guide? I could get behind that!” It’s lighthearted, humorous, and most importantly, it keeps the conversation fun without putting too much pressure on the situation.
By keeping it subtle, you allow your date to feel at ease. It takes the pressure off them to be perfect and allows both of you to enjoy the interaction more naturally. Flirting doesn’t need to be a performance—it’s about creating an environment where both of you can feel comfortable and authentic.
Active Listening: A Key to Connection
Now, let’s talk about something incredibly important in the flirting game: active listening. When we’re on a date, we often get caught up in thinking about what to say next, how we’re coming across, or if we’re being interesting enough. But the best way to make an impression? Truly listening to your date.
Active listening means you’re fully engaged in the conversation, giving your date your full attention and responding thoughtfully. It’s about showing that you care about what they’re saying and that you’re genuinely interested in getting to know them better. When you listen actively, you’re also giving them space to open up, and that can create an immediate connection.
For example, if your date mentions they recently traveled to Japan, instead of simply saying, “That’s cool!” you could follow up with something like, “What was the most memorable experience you had there?” This shows that you’re not just hearing their words but are genuinely curious and invested in their experiences. It’s a great way to build rapport and let them know you’re not just there to impress them—you’re there to connect.
Body Language: Saying More Than Words Can
While your words are important, body language often speaks louder than anything you can say. Whether you realize it or not, your body is constantly communicating how you feel. How you sit, stand, and move tells your date whether you’re relaxed, engaged, or distracted.
Small gestures can go a long way in flirting. A light touch on the arm, a subtle lean in when they’re speaking, or maintaining good eye contact—all these body language cues help signal your interest. And the great thing is, when done naturally, these cues can be just as effective as words.
For example, if you’re sitting at a café on your date and you lean in slightly when they’re sharing a funny story, you’re not just showing that you’re interested—you’re inviting them into your space. It’s an invitation to connect further. And when they respond by leaning in too, that’s when the magic happens—the unspoken connection that tells you both that there’s potential for more.
Flirting through body language doesn’t mean making grand gestures or being overly touchy. It’s about being present and showing that you’re engaged with your date in a subtle, but meaningful way.
Have Fun: Don’t Take It Too Seriously
It’s easy to get caught up in overthinking how to flirt or trying to figure out if your date is into you. But here’s a secret—when you let go of the pressure and allow yourself to have fun, everything flows much more naturally. Flirting on a first date doesn’t need to feel like a test or an assignment. It’s supposed to be a fun, lighthearted experience that sets the stage for more great dates ahead.
When was the last time you had a genuinely fun date? Was it when you were trying too hard to impress, or when you were both laughing, chatting, and enjoying each other's company? Flirting becomes effortless when you're present, enjoying the moment, and letting the connection grow naturally.
Sometimes, it's the small moments—like sharing a laugh or swapping embarrassing stories—that make a first date truly special. When you focus on having fun, you create an environment where both of you can relax, flirt, and let the chemistry grow. That’s the secret to a great date.
Flirting with the Right Match: How MixerDates Makes It Easier
One of the best things about using a platform like MixerDates is that it takes the guesswork out of the equation. By connecting with someone who already shares your interests and values, you’ve got a head start on making a real connection. No more swiping through countless profiles hoping for a spark—on MixerDates, you already know there’s something in common.
When you’re already on the same page with your date, flirting comes more easily. There’s less of that awkward, “Are we even on the same wavelength?” feeling, and more of the fun, “Wow, we really click!” vibe. Whether you’re talking about favorite hobbies, movies, or life goals, the conversation flows naturally, making the flirting feel effortless.
If you're looking for a place to meet like-minded people and build genuine connections, MixerDates is the perfect platform. It's a great place to find someone who appreciates you for who you are and who you can naturally flirt with, without the stress.
Ready to Take the Leap?
Flirting on a first date is all about confidence, connection, and fun. When you let go of the pressure and focus on enjoying the experience, the chemistry will naturally follow. Remember, the best way to flirt is by being yourself—let your personality shine through, listen with intention, and embrace the moment.
And if you’re ready to meet someone new, who’s just as interested in making a connection as you are, MixerDates is the perfect place to start. So go ahead, take the leap, and see where it leads. Who knows? Your next great connection might be just a click away.
Sign up for MixerDates today and start your journey to exciting first dates and meaningful connections!
2025-02-02
■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック
Please consider the histroy of humanity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う
Evaluating planetary prospects
OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advanced civilizations.
I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.
Refining odds
I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.
Piecing together speculative odds
I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and adding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.
Piecing together
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.
Assessing civilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.
Below is a very speculative chart that—based on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let alone advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?
Earth’s Example:
On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candidates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).
These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.
LHS 1140 b:
This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.
All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation's value
OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its criticism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate predictive model.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for predicting extraterrestrial civilizations.
The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, predictive formula. Let’s break down why:
The equation is usually written as:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.
𝐿
L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.
Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.
The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of Possible Values:
Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for
𝑁
N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.
The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In the sense of being a strict mathematical model with well-defined inputs and predictable outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.
In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-human intelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.
Piecing together possibilities
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.
I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.
■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック
Please consider the histroy of humanity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart
ChatGPT
Reasoned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う
Evaluating planetary prospects
OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candidate.
Identifying potential candidates
I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.
Assessing potential candidates
I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.
Identifying promising exoplanets
I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advanced civilizations.
I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.
Evaluating exoplanet prospects
I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.
Charting probabilities
I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.
I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.
Identifying exoplanet contenders
I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.
Weighing proximity and observation
I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.
I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.
Assessing exoplanet potentials
I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.
Refining speculative probabilities
I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.
Refining odds
I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.
I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.
I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.
Crafting a chart
I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.
Integrating speculative analysis
I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.
I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.
Piecing together speculative odds
I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and adding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.
Piecing together
I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.
Assessing civilization probabilities
I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.
Below is a very speculative chart that—based on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let alone advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!
Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets
Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society
Proxima Centauri b ~2%
LHS 1140 b ~0.5%
How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?
Earth’s Example:
On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.
Proxima Centauri b:
This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candidates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).
These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.
LHS 1140 b:
This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.
All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.
Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!
あなた:
Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use
ChatGPT
Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う
re-examining the Drake Equation
evaluating the Drake Equation's value
OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.
Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its criticism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate predictive model.
Understanding the Drake Equation
I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for predicting extraterrestrial civilizations.
The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, predictive formula. Let’s break down why:
The equation is usually written as:
𝑁
=
𝑅
∗
×
𝑓
𝑝
×
𝑛
𝑒
×
𝑓
𝑙
×
𝑓
𝑖
×
𝑓
𝑐
×
𝐿
N=R
∗
×f
p
×n
e
×f
l
×f
i
×f
c
×L
Where:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.
𝑛
𝑒
n
e
: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.
𝐿
L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.
Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula
Uncertain Inputs:
𝑅
∗
R
∗
𝑓
𝑝
f
p
(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.
The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence—
𝑓
𝑙
f
l
,
𝑓
𝑖
f
i
,
𝑓
𝑐
f
c
, and
𝐿
L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.
Wide Ranges of Possible Values:
Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for
𝑁
N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.
The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.
Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?
Accurate?
In the sense of being a strict mathematical model with well-defined inputs and predictable outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.
Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.
The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.
In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.
あなた:
Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation
ChatGPT
Reasoned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う
Evaluating non-human intelligence
I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.
Piecing together possibilities
I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.
It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.
Considering other realms
I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the predictions of the Drake Equation.
Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.
I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.
2024-12-17
■Top Trends in Travel Portal Development Every Business Should Watch
In the ever-evolving travel industry, travel portal have become fundamental tools for businesses looking to enhance customer experience It's streamline operations. With traveler increasingly relying on digital platforms to book everything from flights to hotels, the need for sophisticated, user-friendly, It's high-performing travel portals has never been more crucial. The growth of this sector is driven by numerous factors, including technological advancements, consumer behavior shifts, It's the quest for organization. This article explores the top trends in travel portals development that every business should pay attention to in 2024 It's beyond.
1. Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Travel Portal Development
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) have quickly become foundational components of travel portal development. These technologies are revolutionizing the way businesses personalize services, predict consumer behavior, and optimize booking processes. AI and ML algorithms analyze large data sets to understand customers preferences, allowing for real-time customization of travel recommendations. From dynamic pricing models to
customized travel suggestions, AI help businesses offer an unequaled user experience.
For instance, AI chatbots are becoming successively popular for customer service. They can answer customer queries 24/7, assist in bookings, It's even provide real-time travel updates, enhancing the overall customers experience. Furthermore, AI-powered tools such as a recommendation engines analyze past booking behavior to suggest tailored itineraries, making travel planning much easier for user.
2. Mobile-First Approach for Travel Portal Development
With the increasing use of smartphones, as a mobile first approach is no longer optional for businesses in the travel industry. More It's more travelers are relying on their smartphones for booking flights, boardinghouse, It's activities on the go. For travel portals to stay competitive, ensuring seamless mobile optimization is crucial.
A mobile optimized travel portal ensures that users have access to the same features and functionalities on their mobile devices as they would on a desktop. It’s not just about making the site responsive—it’s about creating an intuitive, fast, and easy to navigate experience. This includes features like mobile-specific payment options, mobile check-in for airlines It's hotels, It's easy access to customers support.
3. Integration of Blockchain for Secure Transactions
Blockchain technology is making waves across various industries, and the travel sector is no exception. Blockchain based travel portals offer a significant advantage when it comes to security It's transparency. Blockchain’s ability to provide secure, tamper proof record makes it ideal for transactions involving bookings, payment, It's loyalty program.
By integrating blockchain, travel businesses can ensure secure It's fast transactions, protect customer data, It's reduce fraud. Blockchain also facilitates easier It's more transparent loyalty program management. Travelers can accumulate rewards points across various service providers, all within the same blockchain framework, creating as a more cohesive It's rewarding experience.
4. Enhanced Payment Solutions and Digital Wallets
One of the most significant changes in the travel industry has been the shift toward contactless payment. Digital wallets, such as a Apple Pay, Google Wallet, It's cryptocurrency wallets, are now widely accepted in travel portals. These payment solutions offer a faster, more secure, It's convenient way for travelers to complete transactions.
For businesses, adopting multiple payment gateways is essential for attracting global customer. International traveler can face issues with currency exchange It's transaction fees, but by offering localized payment method It's supporting a wide range of digital wallets, businesses can significantly improve customers satisfaction It's retention.
5. Voice Search and Virtual Assistants
Voice search is one of the fastest growing trends in the tech world, and the travel industry is no exception. Voice search optimization is becoming an essential part of travel portal development. With the rise of virtual assistants like Amazon’s Alexa, Google Assistant, It's Apple’s Siri, travelers are increasingly using voice command to search for flights, hotels, It's destinations.
For businesses, this means optimizing travel portals for voice search. Voice-friendly portal with natural language processing capabilities can provide users with more accurate results It's make booking processes quicker It's easier. Additionally, integrating virtual assistants into portals can enhance customers service by answering common queries It's assisting with bookings.
6. Augmented Reality (AR) and Virtual Reality (VR) Experiences
(AR) and (VR) technologies are transforming the way travelers experience destinations and plan their trips. Intensified Reality allows traveler to view destinations, hotel, or local attractions in real time through their mobile devices. For example, an AR feature in a travel portal could allow user to take a virtual tour of a hotel room or explore a city’s landmarks in 3D.
Virtual Reality, on the other hand, can transport users to a destination before they even book their trip, providing immersive previews of their potential vacation. Integrating (AR) It's (VR) into travel portal not only elevates the user experience but also drives engagement by offering something truly unique.
7. Customizable and Personalized Travel Packages
Personalization is key to standing out in the competitive travel industry. Travelers today expect customizable travel packages that cater to their unique need and preferences. From flight choices to hotel rooms, activities, It's local experiences, organization allows businesses to create tailored experiences that resonate with their customer.
Advanced travel portal use customer data to offer customized deal, travel itineraries, It's destination recommendations. By analyzing past booking behaviors It's preferences, businesses can deliver highly relevant options, thus increasing the likelihood of conversion. Offering dynamic packaging allows users to mix and match services based on their preferences, creating a more flexible It's customized booking experience.
8. Sustainability and Eco-Friendly Travel Options
As a coincidental concerns continue to rise, more travelers are becoming mindful of their carbon footprint. Sustainable travel has become a major trend in the tourism industry, It's businesses are responding by incorporating Eco-friendly options into their travel portal. Whether it’s booking Eco-conscious accommodations, flights with lower carbon emissions, or supporting local sustainable experiences, travelers are now seeking out environmentally responsible options.
Travel portals that emphasize sustainability and provide clear, detailed information about eco-friendly options are likely to attract a growing segment of conscientious travelers. Businesses can also promote their commitment to sustainability by partnering with Eco-friendly service providers and offering travelers the ability to offset their carbon emissions.
9. Integration with Social Media and User-Generated Content
Social media plays a pivotal role in travel decision making. More than ever, travelers are relying on user generated content (UGC) like reviews, photos, and videos from social platforms to guide their choices. Integrating (UGC) into travel portals allows businesses to tap into this social proof It's build trust with potential customer.
For instance, allowing users to share their experiences via social media or review platforms can provide valuable insights for other travelers. Additionally, incorporating social sharing features within the portals itself can encourage users to engage with your brand It's share their travel experiences, thereby driving more traffic to the portal.
10. API Integrations and Multi-Channel Distribution
As the travel landscape becomes more fragmented, travel businesses must offer a consistent experience across multiple channels. API integrations are key to ensuring that travel portals can access real-time data and distribute it across different platforms. APIs allow travel portal to integrate with global distribution system (GDS), airlines, hotels, car rental services, It's other travel-related services seamlessly.
By offering multi-channel distribution, business can maximize their reach, whether through desktop websites, mobile app, or third party platform like OTAs (Online Travel Agents). This integration also ensures real-time availability update It's better inventory management.
Source & Published by: https://www.namantechnolab.com/
2024-10-29
■[ゲーム][感想]Last Call BBS
変態パズルゲームメーカー（誉め言葉）で知られるZachtronicsの最終作『Last Call BBS』を全実績解除するまでやり尽くしたので感想を書く。
私にとって『Last Call BBS』は、3作目に遊んだZachtronicsゲームである。
1作目は『Opus Magnum』、2作目は『SpaceChem』であった。
SpaceChemを全実績解除するまでプレイした時の感想はこちら → https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20240315235948#
いやー、それにしても楽しかった。
ゲーム全体の雰囲気としては、レトロな雰囲気が気に入った。HDDのカリカリ音だったりダイヤルアップ接続のピポパ音だったりもいい。
ただ、日本語訳されていないので、BBSや主人公（？）のテキストメモにおいて英文読解があまりできなかったのが残念だ。とはいえこれは私の英語能力が低いせいなので仕方がない。
『Last Call BBS』に収録されている各ゲームの難易度は、私にとってちょうど良かった。ギリギリクリアできる難易度のものが多かったから、当ゲームの開発者は難易度調整にさぞ力を入れたことだろう。
ゲームの紹介についてはネットで検索すればわかることだから他で参照してもらって、ここは日記なので私の感想を中心に書くことにする。ちなみに当ゲーム内にある各ゲーム（全部で8つ）の感想はクリア順（実績解除順）に並べる。
Sawayama Solitaire
他のパズルゲームで頭脳を酷使した後のリフレッシュにちょうどいいのでついつい繰り返しプレイして、必要ないのに50勝以上もしてしまった。（10勝で実績解除）
Dungeons & Diagrams
初めの頃はルールを理解するのに苦労した。最初はとりあえず升目を空けてステージクリアしたが、なぜステージクリアになったのかがわからなかった。しかし、次第にルールが理解できるようになると、楽しくステージ進行できるようになった。とはいえ、終盤のほうはなかなか難しくて頭を抱えたりもした。
20th Century Food Court
オブジェクトを運んで加工してと、まさにZachtronicsらしいパズルゲーム。ステージクリア後にコストとステップ数のランキングがグラフで表示されるので（SpaceChemなどでもおなじみだ）、クリア後もついつい効率化を図ってしまうのもまさにZachtronicsだ。コスト低減のためにコンベヤやセンサの設置をシンプルにして、代わりにロジック部分を配線まみれにしてしまうのが楽しくて仕方がない。
難易度の上昇幅もちょうどよく、ステージの終盤になるとロジック部分がギチギチで配線グチャグチャになったりしたのも楽しかった。
ステージクリア後の利用客のレビューも面白い（英文がちょっと難しかったけど）。コーラの製造ステージでコークやペプシを作るのだが、「全部同じじゃないですか」（意訳）というレビューがあって笑った。カップのデザインが違うだけで中身が同じだからだ。
Kabufuda Solitaire
あっさりと最高難易度までクリアして実績解除できた。しかし、クリアしても適切な戦略が良くわからなかった。クリアしても初期配置が良かったからとしか思えなくて達成感は無かったし、失敗してもやはり初期配置が悪かったからとしか思えなかった。ようするに運ゲーにしか感じなかった。やたらめったらカードを動かして積み重ねては駄目なようだけど、さりとてカードを積み重ねることでしかカードを動かせないのだからいったいどうすれば、という感じだった。
おなじく運ゲーなソリティアであるSawayama Solitaireは滅茶苦茶はまったのに対して、Kabufuda Solitaireにはあまりはまらなかった。これは、カード操作で戦略的思考を持てるか否かの違いだろうか。
STEED FORCE Hobby Studio
ゲームというより作業シミュレーター？ 無心になって、ニッパーでプチプチとパーツを外してパーツをはめ込むのは、禅の境地だろうか。
X’BPGH:The Forbidden Path
ゴア的ホラーな雰囲気を漂わせたパズルゲーム（ゴア表現は無い）。この雰囲気でパズルゲーム？ と思ったが、スライム状のオブジェクトを増殖して変化させるパズルは、ゴアな雰囲気がふさわしい。プレイと共に雰囲気が好きになってきた。
難易度の上昇幅もちょうどよく、序盤はテンポよく次々とステージクリアできるが、終盤になると頭を抱えるほどに難しくなる。実績解除してこれで全ステージクリアかと思ったら、まだまだステージがたくさんあることに気づいて愕然とした。どれも難しそうなので、やらずに放置している。
ChipWizard Professional
PNPとNPNってどう違うんだっけ？ ベース・コレクタ・エミッタってなんだっけ？ いまだによくわかっていないが、PNPとNPNを組み合わせて問題解決するのは楽しかった。特に楽しかったのは自己保持回路だ。どうすれば自己保持できるんだと悩んだが、試行錯誤の末に実現して動作を眺めるのが楽しかった。
難易度上昇幅もやはりちょうどよく、終盤は頭を抱えたり奇声を上げるほどに難しかったが、それだけに達成感も大きかった。Zachtronicsおなじみの、ステージクリア後のランキングもやはりいい。ランキング上位を目指そうとステージクリア後も回路を小さくするよう、ついつい改良してしまう。
HACK*MATCH
『パネルでポン』を彷彿させるパズルゲーム。ブロックが消えている間にブロックを投げ込んで連鎖できるのも、パネルでポンにおけるアクティブ連鎖を彷彿させる。
このゲームの攻略は、3ステージ目がなかなかクリアできずに後回しにしていた。
3ステージ目は、運悪く盤面ブロックの種類がバラつくとブロックを消すのに手間取ってしまい負けてしまう。また、プレイが長引くと爆弾ブロックが邪魔になって負けることが多かった。爆弾は発動させても相手にダメージを与えられないので、メリットは無い。逆にブロック配置の運が良いと連鎖を簡単に組めたり、あるいは勝手に連鎖になって相手に大ダメージを与えることができる。
3ステージ目は何度もコンティニューして、運良く連鎖が繋がった時に勝つことができた。
4ステージ目（最終ステージ）はコンティニュー1回で勝てたが、これも運良く画面外で連鎖が繋がったのが主因だ。
このゲームは、ブロック操作の速さやテクニックよりも、運の良さに左右されるゲームだと思う。
まとめ
全実績を解除した時点の感想としては、とにかく楽しくて苦痛でもあった。それだけに達成感もまた大きかった。さすがはZachtronicsだ。
Last Call BBS内のどのゲームも面白かったが、その中でも『20th Century Food Court』が一番良かった。次に『ChipWizard Professional』だ。
もう当分の間パズルゲームはやりたくないのでしばらくは他のジャンルのゲームをするだろうが、何か月もすると禁断症状が出てまたパズルゲームをやりたくなるだろう。その時には『SHENZHEN I/O』をやろうと思う。
2024-10-24
■キリンの首と民主主義
はじめに
ここ最近は政治的な不祥事がいくつかあったこともあり、今回の選挙は特に注目度が高いと思っている。
しかし、私の身の回りの人たちは参政の意識の差が大きいと感じる。
投票しないという人たちの話を聞く限り、以下のようなハードルがあるようだった。
これらの気持ちはスゴくわかる。
受動的に得る政治関連の情報は断片的なことが多くて分かりづらいし、自分で調べ始めてもなんだかインターネット上で強い言葉を使ってブチギレている人ばかり目にする。（本当に怖い）
ただ、"それでも投票する必要がある"という理屈が、投票をしない人たちには伝わってないんじゃないかと思う。
「投票しないことをチクチク言われることはあるけど、特に困ることはないし別にいいか」くらいの気持ちじゃないかと推察する。
そこで、私なりに投票の必要性を整理してみたくなり、ここにまとめることにした。微力ではあるが投票について考える一助となれば幸いだ。
※私は記載する内容の専門家ではなく、なんらかのデータに基づいた話もないのであくまで一個人の想いや考え方としてご一読いただきたい。また、本内容は特定の政党や思想を批判・支持するものではないこともご留意いただきたい。
キリンの首はなぜ長くなったか？
変化の内容は、脚が速いヤツ／寒さに強いヤツ／好き嫌いが少ないヤツ／首が長いヤツといった感じで多様である。
この多様な特徴を持った群の中で、周りの環境に最も適用しているものが多数派になる。
キリンの場合には、"高い木の上に食べられるものが多くある"という環境だったから首が長いヤツが多数派となったという感じだ。
とてもよくできた仕組みだが、この仕組みが正しく機能するためにはいくつか条件がある。
- 多様な特徴を持つ群であること
環境は刻々と変化するため、特定の環境に適用した特徴だけを持つ種では全滅してしまう可能性がある。
それを避けるためにいろいろな特徴をもった個体がいたほうが種全体としては頑健である。
- 環境による淘汰が行われること
キリンであれば、高いところの食べ物に届かない個体は生き残れないといったように、環境に適用できていない特徴を持った個体が不利になるように自然選択される必要がある。これを専門用語で淘汰圧と言うらしい。
少し乱暴にまとめると
"多様なものが競争によって淘汰され、最も適切なものを主流として種が生き残る"
ということである。
選挙も同じでは？
私はこの進化の仕組みが、民主主義にも適用されていると感じている。
"多様な特徴を持つ群"は異なる政治的意見を持つ個人や政党に置き換えられるし、"環境による淘汰"は選挙による政治家や政党の選択に置き換えられるためである。
ここまで説明すれば、言いたいことはなんとなくわかってもらえると思う。
投票しないということは
"全体の投票率が低いことにより適切な淘汰圧がかからず、環境に適用できていない（あるいは偏った環境に適用した）政治が行われることに繋がる"
ということであると私は考えている。
淘汰されないのであれば、自分たちが得するように特定の団体を優遇したり裏金を得られるようにしたりしても政治家たちにとっては何の問題もないのだ。
どうなっていくと良いと思うのか
ただ、どこか特定のところを落とそう！と言っているわけではなく、投票率を上げて淘汰圧を強くしよう！ということが伝えたいことである。
政治に関する情報収集は難しすぎるが、なんとなくでも良いので自分の考え方に近い政党や遠い考え方の政党を知ることが重要だ。
昨今は簡単なアンケートで自分にマッチした政党を知ることができるvote matchサービスが複数あるのでやってみることを勧める。
ここで注意したいのは、サービスによって設問内容や回答項目が異なるため、結果に偏りが出る可能性がある点だ。余裕があれば複数のサービスでやってみてほしい。
ここでは特定のサービスの案内は避けるため、"vote match"等で検索していただきたい。
たとえ投票したい候補や政党がない場合でも、自分の考えと遠い考えを持つ候補や政党が選択されないように、そこと対立する考えを持つところに投票すると良いと思う。
また、「投票先がないのなら抗議の意味で白票を投じれば良い」という意見を見かけることがあるが、これまで述べてきた淘汰圧の考え方からするとまっっったく意味がないのでやめたほうが良いと私は考える。
おわりに
政治的な話について複雑化したりタブー視したりして選挙に対するハードルが上がり、それが原因の一部となり正しい淘汰が行われていない現状が私はとても悲しかった。
自分なりに考えた結果、民主主義の前提のような共通認識がないままに感情を優先して会話されているからではないかと思ったため、本内容を投稿した次第である。
2024-10-06
■
ワイ：
x = torch.tensor([
[1.0,2.0,3.0],
[4.0,5.0,6.0]
])
Claude3.5 Sonnet：
はい、channel-wise 正規化（チャネル方向の正規化）を行います。この場合、最終次元（dim=-1）がチャネルとなります。channel-wise 正規化では、各チャネルの平均を0、分散を1に正規化します。
import torch x = torch.tensor([ [1.0, 2.0, 3.0], [4.0, 5.0, 6.0] ]) # チャネル方向（最終次元）の平均と標準偏差を計算 mean = x.mean(dim=-1, keepdim=True) std = x.std(dim=-1, keepdim=True) # Epsilon を追加して、ゼロ除算を防ぐ epsilon = 1e-5 # 正規化を実行 x_normalized = (x - mean) / (std + epsilon) print("元のテンソル:") print(x) print("\n正規化後のテンソル:") print(x_normalized)元のテンソル: tensor([[1., 2., 3.], [4., 5., 6.]]) 正規化後のテンソル: tensor([[-1.2247, 0.0000, 1.2247], [-1.2247, 0.0000, 1.2247]])
ワイ：
x = torch.tensor([
[1.0,2.0,3.0],
[4.0,5.0,6.0]
])
ChatGPT o1-preview：
import torch x = torch.tensor([ [1.0, 2.0, 3.0], [4.0, 5.0, 6.0] ]) # Compute mean and standard deviation along the batch dimension (dim=0) mean = x.mean(dim=0, keepdim=True) std = x.std(dim=0, unbiased=False, keepdim=True) # Perform channel-wise normalization x_normalized = (x - mean) / std print("Normalized Tensor:\n", x_normalized)Output:
Normalized Tensor: tensor([[-1., -1., -1.], [ 1., 1., 1.]])Explanation:
Compute Mean:
The mean is computed along the batch dimension (dim=0), treating each column as a channel.
mean = x.mean(dim=0, keepdim=True)This results in mean = [[2.5, 3.5, 4.5]].
Compute Standard Deviation:
The standard deviation is computed along the same dimension with unbiased=False to match the sample size.
std = x.std(dim=0, unbiased=False, keepdim=True)This results in std = [[1.5, 1.5, 1.5]].
Normalize:
Subtract the mean and divide by the standard deviation for each channel.
x_normalized = (x - mean) / stdThis yields the normalized tensor with standardized channels.
Note: Setting keepdim=True ensures that the mean and standard deviation tensors have the same number of dimensions as x, which is necessary for broadcasting during subtraction and division.
ChatGPTの方が正しいよね？
2024-09-05
■現実でスキルにレベル設定するならどうする？
レベル2：数式が組める
レベル3：Ctrl+S、Alt→E→L などのショートカットが使える
レベル4：フィルタ設定、ウィンドウ枠の固定、入力規則が使える
レベル5：VLOOKUPが使える(INDEX MATCHでも可。絶対参照と相対参照が分かる)
レベル6：条件式が組める
レベル7：データ形式が分かる(Excelのお節介機能を黙らせてCSVファイルを正しく開ける)
レベル8：Excelについて質問されるほどの知見/信用がある
レベル9：依頼側の要件を聞き、譲渡可能な(作成者に依存しない)Excelファイルを作成できる
2024-08-01
■アンチセミティズムとかいう言葉がヤバい
アンチセミティズムとは反ユダヤ主義、つまりユダヤ人に対する偏見や嫌悪を意味する言葉である。
しかし、この言葉はイスラエルを批判する者全てを封じる魔法の言葉に成り果てている。
Investigation into alleged antisemitism at Olympic football match
ジェノサイドオリンピックと書かれた横断幕を掲げたものを反ユダヤとして警察が取り締まると発表したのだ。
この横断幕は現在進行系でジェノサイドを行っているイスラエルの参加が許されていることに対する批判と考えられるが、これに対し単にアンチセミティズムというレッテルが貼られ、差別として処理される状況になっているのである。
言い換えれば虐殺をやめろと言うと問答無用で差別主義者として処罰されるという事だ。
これは非常に恐ろしい。
例えば先日、東大准教授の斎藤幸平氏が反五輪を示し話題になったが、彼がフランスで同じ発言をすれば反ユダヤの差別主義者として逮捕されているところだろう。
このアンチセミティズムという言葉を都合良く操るフランスはマジヤバいし、それを淡々と言われたとおり報道してるBBCもヤバい。
2024-06-26
■非エンジニアだけどClaude3に増田ミュート作ってもらったよ
これを改善してってお願いした。何書いてあるかわからないけど動いたよ。
https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20240125203115
// ==UserScript== // @name 増田ミュート（白塗り版） // @namespace http://tampermonkey.net/ // @version 2024-06-26 // @description ミュートワードを含む最小限の範囲を白塗りにする // @author You // @match https://anond.hatelabo.jp/* // @icon https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?sz=64&domain=hatelabo.jp // @grant none // ==/UserScript== (function() { 'use strict'; const muteWords = [ "弱者男性", "弱男", "弱者", "婚活", "男", "女", "年収", "下方婚", "発達障害", "発達", "ハッタツ", "ハッタショ", "ﾊｯﾀｼｮ", "競プロ", "競技プログラミング", "AtCoder", ]; function whiteoutElement(element) { element.style.backgroundColor = 'white'; element.style.color = 'white'; element.style.textShadow = 'none'; element.style.cursor = 'default'; element.style.userSelect = 'none'; // テキスト選択を防止 element.style.borderBottom = '1px dashed #ccc'; // 枠線を追加してテキストがあることを示す // リンクの場合、クリックを無効化 if (element.tagName === 'A') { element.style.pointerEvents = 'none'; element.removeAttribute('href'); } // 子要素にも適用 Array.from(element.children).forEach(child => { child.style.backgroundColor = 'white'; child.style.color = 'white'; child.style.textShadow = 'none'; }); // ツールチップを追加 element.title = 'この内容にはミュートワードが含まれています'; } function shouldMute(text) { return muteWords.some(word => { const parts = word.split(''); const regex = new RegExp(parts.map(char => `${char}\\s*`).join(''), 'i'); return regex.test(text); }); } function findSmallestMuteableElement(element) { if (element.nodeType === Node.TEXT_NODE) { return shouldMute(element.textContent) ? element.parentElement : null; } if (element.tagName === 'PRE' || element.tagName === 'CODE') { return shouldMute(element.textContent) ? element : null; } for (let child of element.childNodes) { const result = findSmallestMuteableElement(child); if (result) return result; } return shouldMute(element.textContent) ? element : null; } function processElement(element) { const muteableElement = findSmallestMuteableElement(element); if (muteableElement) { whiteoutElement(muteableElement); } } function processAllElements(root = document.body) { const walker = document.createTreeWalker( root, NodeFilter.SHOW_ELEMENT | NodeFilter.SHOW_TEXT, null, false ); let node; while (node = walker.nextNode()) { if (node.nodeType === Node.ELEMENT_NODE) { processElement(node); } else if (node.nodeType === Node.TEXT_NODE && node.parentElement) { processElement(node.parentElement); } } } function handleClickEvent(event) { setTimeout(() => { processAllElements(event.target); }, 100); } // 初回実行 processAllElements(); // クリックイベントの監視 document.body.addEventListener('click', handleClickEvent); // DOM変更の監視 const observer = new MutationObserver(mutations => { mutations.forEach(mutation => { if (mutation.type === 'childList') { mutation.addedNodes.forEach(node => { if (node.nodeType === Node.ELEMENT_NODE) { processAllElements(node); } }); } else if (mutation.type === 'characterData') { processElement(mutation.target.parentNode); } }); }); observer.observe(document.body, { childList: true, subtree: true, characterData: true }); })();
2024-06-02
■anond:20240602005019
女性に対してトラウマ（非常に強い苦手意識）がある男性ですが、以下参考まで、、、
Yahoo!出会い／match.com／Omiaiなど。必要最低限のスペックを満たしていれば何度か定型的なメッセージのやり取りはできても二回目、三回目が続かず自然消滅ばかり。ごく稀に同年代の女性と何度か会うことができたが、実際に会うと会話が成立せず自然消滅／いずれも退会。
寝たきりだった祖母と病気がちだった父親が亡くなり、見かねた親戚が心配して設定してくれた。お見合い相手は三歳年下で、初回の顔合わせでは会話らしい会話もできなかったが、相手の女性がお情けでLINEの連絡先を教えてくれたのを勘違いしてしまった。カフェ、レストラン、神社仏閣、ディズニー、観劇など毎回凝ったデートコースを提案した。毎回デート費用はこちら持ち。20回目のデートで勇気を振り絞ってプロポーズをしたら、今は待ってほしいとお断り。その後呼び出されて別れて欲しいと告げられトラウマになった。
43歳で結婚相談所に入会。個人ながら地元密着でIBJ加盟で表彰も多数され、毎月のように成婚実績を出しているやり手の仲人の方。お見合いは組めるものの、二回目、三回目のデートから先にどうしても進めなくなってしまう。結局４年間続けているが、真剣交際までは進められたことがない。
自分は在籍カウンセラーさんの多い「〇ららか相談室」で何度かメール／zoomでオンラインカウンセリングを受けた。良いカウンセラーさんに当たると少し気持ちが楽になることもあったが、そういう方は多忙な業務の合間に副業的にやられていることも多いようで、一回限りで予約が取れなくなった。
2024-03-02
■anond:20240302043100
VBA嫌いのExcel師(営業事務)なんだけど、その程度のことをVBAでやろうとするヤツを駆逐したい。
お前は営業や他のユーザーの理解度を自分レベルだと勘違いするのをやめるべき。
うちの会社はVLOOKUP(最近はINDEXとMATCH)組めるのが「Excelできる」と名乗っていい最低限のラインで、営業と営業事務では名乗れないやつはほとんどいない。でもVBAは使える人は稀。
基本はその「難しくてもVLOOKUPの知識を駆使すればなんとかなるレベル」でExcelを組まないと破綻する。
うちの会社の一事業部は複数の会社に発注をしていて、そうすると会社ごとにデータを比較して見たいのに項目や項目順が違って簡単に比較できない、ということがよくある。
その場合マッピングと呼ばれるデータ項目の統一化が必要なんだけど、会社によって合算したいデータがそれぞれ別の方法でしか取れないとか、合算値に余計なデータが入ってるからrawデータ取ってきて件数はレコード数でカウントしないといけないとか、まぁ色々出てくる。
全取引に対してのデフォルト対応としての統一マッピングはしてるけど、そういうのはVBAでやらずにSaaS使ってるし、ものによって重視する値が変わるので例外が2割くらいある。うちの会社はその辺りの裁量が営業に認められているので例外も多め(なおオンリーワンになりたいためだけに特殊対応した奴は一人を除いて矯正or自滅済)
そういう融通をきかせるのにExcelの計算シートでマッピングするのは絶対。
あとVBAだと営業側が「どういう計算をしてるのか」とか「正しい数値が出てるのか」が確認できない。
っていうのは例えば100円3件と150円2件の仕入れにうちの取り分2割乗せて720円として見せたかったのに、『=100*3+150*2*1.2』って数式書いたせいで660円になっとるやんみたいな。こんなんよくある眠い時のヒューマンエラーで、VBA書く人ならやらかさない、なんてことは絶対ない。
しかも営業がこういうのの修正とか提案用にちょいちょいと列増やして数式入れようとしても「マクロ壊れるからやめて」とか言われる。営業が自分で調整可能なら1時間以内でできるものでも、VBA書いた人に依頼しなきゃいけないんだと、書いた人の通常業務との兼ね合いで1週間待たされたりする。
営業に金稼がせるためには営業の利便性と裁量は必須で、Excel利用者に裁量権が認められてないVBAのツールなんか全体最適化されてないクソ。
※なお裁量大きいからってあんまり好き勝手するとやらかした時に他の助けも得られず(やれることに限界がある)自滅ルート
自分も軽くVBA習得してるんだけど、フォルダ内のデータ一括読み込みとシートの分割統合の関数代わりにしか使ってない。しかもただの効率化なのでVBAが死んだところで手作業に戻せる範囲。
他人が保守できるように作るのならVBAなんか入れるべきではないし、VBA入れないなら計算シートは必須。あと計算周りを大掛かりにやるならSaaS入れてDX検討すべき。
2023-08-04
■綺麗なコードって綺麗に書くことじゃないよ
本当にあった話だけど、JavaScriptでstrっていう変数にテキストが入っていて
その変数に'apple'とか'banana'とかが入ってるかどうかを判別するっていうロジックを作るときに
const re = new RegExp("apple") if(re.test(str)) console.log("match")
const re_apple = new RegExp("apple") const re_banana = new RegExp("banana") if ( re_apple.test(str) || re_banana.test(str) ) console.log("match")
っていうコードを書く人がおるんよ
別にプログラミング初めて3ヶ月の初心者じゃ無くて20年以上やってるようなベテランだったり
なんならチーフプログラマーとして若手指導してるような人でもこういうレベルの人って割といるわけ
これに対して
「正規表現でORを書くべき」
「includeで十分」
綺麗にコードを書くっていうのは
「これってappleとかbanana以外に増えたりしないの？」
「fruitsかどうかを判別するならその変数を作った方が良くない？」
っていうのを考えて実装するのが綺麗にコードを書くっていうことで
ちなみに
「正規表現でORを書きましょう」
「動いてるからいいじゃない」
「綺麗に書いても性能上意味ない」
「言ってることが良く分からない。何が違うのか」
とか言ってくるし
2023-07-23
■素早くブクマされた増田を強調 簡易セルクマ検知ユーザースクリプト
https://b.hatena.ne.jp/site/anond.hatelabo.jp
で動くスクリプトでたとえば投稿後10分以内にブクマされページに乗ったら「1 user」が「1 user セルクマ 1とか5(何分後にブクマされたか)」になる。もしマイナスなら誤判定なので無視して。
時間を置いたセルクマには効かないし普通のファーストブクマカがどれぐらいの頻度で確認してるかしらないけど5分以内や1分以内もポロポロあるのでまあ目安に。
.forEach(div => {
('.entrylist-contents-title > a')
とかの
を
<>
に変えてね
他にも見落としあるかも
誤判定が減るから非公開ファーストブクマを判定できたらいいんだけどね。
// ==UserScript== // @name hatebu masuda selkmark // @namespace http://tampermonkey.net/ // @version 0.1 // @description 特定時間以内にブクマされた増田を強調する // @author You // @match https://b.hatena.ne.jp/site/anond.hatelabo.jp* // @grant none // ==/UserScript== (function() { 'use strict'; const threshold = 60 * 10 // 何秒以内か const domain = 'https://anond.hatelabo.jp/' const dateTemplate = '202301020304' // 時分まで urlの時刻表記 const dateTest = new RegExp('\\d{' + dateTemplate.length + '}') document.querySelectorAll('div.entrylist-contents').forEach(div => { const masuda = div.querySelector('.entrylist-contents-title > a') const dateStr = masuda.href.substring(domain.length + dateTemplate.length, domain.length) if (!dateTest.test(dateStr)) { // キーワードとか console.log('not diary', dateStr) return } // new Dateできるように変換 // https://amateur-engineer.com/javascript-date-yyyymmddhhmm/ const year = parseInt(dateStr.substring(0, 4)) const month = parseInt(dateStr.substring(4, 6)) const day = parseInt(dateStr.substring(6, 8)) const hour = parseInt(dateStr.substring(8, 10)) const min = parseInt(dateStr.substring(10, 12)) const date = new Date(year, month - 1, day, hour, min) const bukumaDate = new Date(div.querySelector('.entrylist-contents-date').textContent) // 2023/01/23 00:00 const diffSec = (bukumaDate - date) / 1000 // ms to sec if (diffSec > threshold) { return } // ブクマ数 user const user = div.querySelector('span.entrylist-contents-users a').lastChild user.textContent += ' セルクマ ' + (diffSec / 60) // 古い記事がマイナスになる でも2015年ぐらいの記事までかな？新着はセーフ臭い /* if(diffSec < 0) { user.textContent += ' 異常差分:' + diffSec } */ }) })();
2023-03-04
■朝日新聞digitalのプレゼント機能
無料会員のタダ読み3本機能の代わりに導入された有料会員によるプレゼント機能が導入されてもう1年（？）。増田が初めて知ったのはwattoさんのブコメでプレゼントURLを貼ってくれた時だが、最近になってTwitterでスーパーインフルエンサーの暇空アノンのいちゃもんのおかげで一気に機能が周知された。その結果なのかTwitterでもプレゼントURLの貼り付けが増えた感。
面白いのは、いわゆるリベラル系のアカウントの利用のみならず、反リベラル系の有名アカウントもちらほらとプレゼント機能を利用してるってことな。閲覧数は反リベラル系が圧倒的。まあそれなりにコンサル系や研究者系なら思想の左右問わず朝日読売日経辺りを読まないわけにはいかないし、中立アピールのためにあえて朝日ソースを使うってことかな
そして我ながらとんでもなくみみっちいブックマークレットをChatGPTに頼んで作ってもらった
朝日デジタルの有料記事ページを開いている時にクリックするとTwitterで有料記事プレゼント機能を使ってる（と思われる）ツイートを検索するブックマークレット。
javascript: (() => { const currentUrl = window.location.href; const digitalUrl = `digital${currentUrl.match(/\.asahi\.com\/articles\/.+\.html/i)[0]}`; const searchUrl = `https://twitter.com/search?q=${encodeURIComponent(digitalUrl)}&f=live`; window.open(searchUrl, %27_blank%27);})();
2023-02-25
■anond:20230224073522
男の年齢別人気会員の割合は26歳-37歳で高い(ピーク32歳）
女の年齢別人気会員の割合は20歳-29歳で高い(ピーク26歳)
これこそがフェミニストが異常に発狂する男女の適齢期の違いである
男の年齢は女のそれのマイナス7歳～8歳（市場価値は女の20歳＝男の28歳、女の30歳＝男の38歳、女の40歳＝男の48歳...）
（ソース）「match△app〇jp×al/×131805」（△は-に、〇は半角ピリオドに、×は半角スラッシュに変換）
厚生労働省「人口動態統計」による2015年に結婚した夫婦の年齢差
夫が11歳以上年上 … 6.9%
妻が11歳以上年上 … 0.8%
夫が年上 … 57.6%
妻が年上 … 24.2%
2023-02-03
■最近UserScriptを書くのが楽しい
最近UserScriptを書くことに目覚めて、不便なWebサイトをちょっと改造して好みにするのにハマってる
例えば「辞書系のサイトなのにページを開いた瞬間から入力欄にカーソルがあってないのがいや」とか、そういう細かい点をこちらで勝手に改修するするような感じね
で、増田において「この人記事に対して毎回○○って反応つけてるけど面白いと思ってやってんのかな？ 面白いと思ってやってんなら致命的に自分とセンスが合わないから消したいし、面白いと思ってないならただの害悪だから消したいな」と思うことがあるわけですが、そういった異なる価値観に対して自動的に適切な距離を置くためのスクリプトを作ったのでメモがてら貼り付けておきます
// ==UserScript== // @name ますだどくさいスイッチ // @namespace Violentmonkey Scripts // @match https://anond.hatelabo.jp/2* // @grant none // @version 1.0 // @author anond // @description description // ==/UserScript== (async () => { // ここにNGワードをどんどん追加する // 基本は文字列、文字列で引っ掛けにくいなら正規表現でもいい const keywords = [ "あえいうえおあお", ]; const checkedMarker = `data-a${Math.random().toString(36).slice(-8)}`; const query = `div[id^="excerpt-"]:not([${checkedMarker}]`; const delTree = () =>{ const elems = [...document.querySelectorAll(query)]; for(const elem of elems) { const textContent = elem.textContent; if(keywords.some((x) => (typeof x === "string") ? textContent.includes(x) : x.test(textContent))) { const parentContainer = elem.closest("li"); parentContainer?.remove(); } else { elem.setAttribute(checkedMarker, "true"); } } }; delTree(); const mo = new MutationObserver(delTree); mo.observe(document.body, { childList: true, subtree: true }); })();
- ブラウザーにTampermonkeyやViolentmonkeyをインストールしUserScriptを動かせるようにする
- インストールした拡張機能のダッシュボードを開き新規スクリプトを追加する
- 上記全てをペタッと貼り付ける
- 配列keywordsに消したい文字列またはそれにマッチする正規表現を入れる
- Ctrl＋Sを推して保存する
- 記事の反応のうち消したい文字列に当てはまる発言(とさらにそれに反応した発言)がツリーから消える
keywordsを増やして君だけのどくさいスイッチを育ててね！
(追記)
2023-01-10
■増田引退にあたり過去の投稿を掃除した
以下のスクリプトを登録することで。以下のループを繰り返させることができる。
「https://anond.hatelabo.jp/ここにユーザー名/を開く」→「直近の投稿の編集画面に遷移」→「削除ボタンを押す」→「ダイアログに答える」→「https://anond.hatelabo.jp/ここにユーザー名/に戻る」
実質ダイアログに答えるところだけやればよい。
// ==UserScript== // @name New Userscript // @namespace http://tampermonkey.net/ // @version 0.1 // @description try to take over the world! // @author You // @match https://anond.hatelabo.jp/ここにユーザー名/ // @icon https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?sz=64&domain=hatelabo.jp // @grant none // ==/UserScript== function sleep(ms) { return new Promise(resolve => setTimeout(resolve, ms)); } (async function() { 'use strict'; await sleep(100); window.location.href = document.querySelectorAll("div.section")[0].querySelector("a.edit").href; })();
// ==UserScript== // @name New Userscript // @namespace http://tampermonkey.net/ // @version 0.1 // @description try to take over the world! // @author You // @match https://anond.hatelabo.jp/ここにユーザー名/edit* // @icon https://www.google.com/s2/favicons?sz=64&domain=hatelabo.jp // @grant none // ==/UserScript== function sleep(ms) { return new Promise(resolve => setTimeout(resolve, ms)); } (async function() { 'use strict'; await sleep(100); document.querySelector("input.delete-button").click(); })();