always - はてな匿名ダイアリー

2025-03-03

■anond:20250224235133

・青春時代に恋愛出来なかった男性は非モテを拗らせて痛い言動をとる
そんなデータはなく、統計的事実は「青春時代に恋愛した男女は幾つになっても恋愛やる」ことが示唆されている。
例えば米国の縦断研究では過去に異性遊び（特定パートナー以外と性的関係を持つ）していた人間は、過去に誠実に異性遊びをしなかった人間に比して次の関係でも異性遊びする可能性が3倍高いことが判明した。要するに「過去にモテて異性遊びした人間はずっと異性遊びしようとするが、過去に異性遊びしなかった人間はそれ以降も異性遊びはしない」ということだ。

ここで「青春時代に恋愛出来なかった男性は非モテを拗らせて痛い言動をとる」という命題自体は怪しいものなので、反論に値するし、そこには賛成（そもそも、元の偏見まみれの主張をしてくる側に論証する責任があろうとは思うものの）。ただ、

そんなデータはなく、統計的事実は「青春時代に恋愛した男女は幾つになっても恋愛やる」ことが示唆されている。

論文の解釈としてこれはねえわ。論文

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5709195/

のタイトル自体がそもそも"Once a Cheater, Always a Cheater? Serial Infidelity Across Subsequent Relationships"雑に訳すると「一度浮気した人はまた浮気する？複数の恋愛関係にまたがる連続的な不貞行為について」といったところ。タイトルからわかるように、男女関係において一度浮気した人がその後も浮気傾向にあるかということがこの論文の著者にとって関心があることなわけね。

なのに、それを「青春時代に恋愛した男女は幾つになっても恋愛やる」とするのはさすがにありえない。「青春時代に浮気した男女はそのあとも浮気するリスクが高い」くらいならわかるけどね。rei氏も解釈捻じ曲げてる自覚があるのか、論文の本文についての言及をみると

例えば米国の縦断研究では過去に異性遊び（特定パートナー以外と性的関係を持つ）していた人間は、過去に誠実に異性遊びをしなかった人間に比して次の関係でも異性遊びする可能性が3倍高いことが判明した。要するに「過去にモテて異性遊びした人間はずっと異性遊びしようとするが、過去に異性遊びしなかった人間はそれ以降も異性遊びはしない」ということだ。

「異性遊び」という表現に変えていて、「間違っているとは言い切れない」姑息なやり方をしてるわけだ。ただ、それでも、論文の主眼が「浮気」であることを考えると、こじつけに近い。論文の著者が言いたかったことに合わせて修正すると

例えば米国の縦断研究では、最初の恋愛で浮気をした人は、浮気しなかった人に比べて、次の恋愛でも浮気する可能性が3倍高かった。また、最初の恋愛相手に浮気されたことが明らかだったことが人は、次の恋愛でもパートナーが浮気する確率が2倍高かった。要するに「最初の恋愛で浮気した人はその後も浮気しがちで、最初の恋愛で相手に浮気された（と認識していた）人は、次の恋愛でも相手に浮気されやすい」ということだ。

となる。全然印象変わってくるわけよ。ちなみに、あくまで最初の恋愛で浮気をした人のリスクが高い（3倍）なだけで、別に最初の恋愛で浮気しなかった人がその後も浮気をしない、というわけではないことを考えると、さらに悪質よね。

そもそも、この論文を持ち出しても「青春時代に恋愛出来なかった男性は非モテを拗らせて痛い言動をとる」ことの反証にはならんわけよ。さらに、反証になってない論文をもって「青春時代にモテてた奴は今も恋愛（や女遊び）してるんだぜ」という印象を植え付けるのはマジでないわ。

この一例だけ見ても氏が結構悪質なチェリーピッキングやってるのがわかると思う。

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 02:46

2025-03-01

■anond:20250301161550

経済の停滞や落ち込みが人の死亡リスクを高めることは、多くの学術研究で指摘されています。以下、いくつかの代表的な研究を紹介しながら説明します。

1. 失業率の上昇と自殺率の関連

経済の停滞は失業率の上昇を招き、それが自殺率の増加につながることが多くの研究で示されています。

Brenner (1976) は「Economic Changes and Heart Disease Mortality in the U.S.」の研究で、景気後退期には自殺率や心疾患による死亡率が上昇することを指摘しました。

Stuckler et al. (2009) の「The public health effect of economic crises and a lternative policy responses in Europe」によると、2008年のリーマンショック後、失業率が1%上昇すると自殺率が約1%上昇することが示されました。

日本でも、バブル崩壊後の1990年代後半やリーマンショック後に自殺者数が増加したことが統計で確認されています（厚生労働省「人口動態統計」）。

2. 貧困と健康リスクの増加

経済停滞は貧困層を拡大し、健康に悪影響を与えます。

Marmot (2005) の「Status Syndrome: How Your Social Standing Directly Affects Your Health and Life Expectancy」によると、社会経済的地位が低いほど平均余命が短くなることが示されています。

Case & Deat on (2015) の「Rising morbidity and mortality in midlife among white non-Hispanic Americans in the 21st century」では、経済格差が拡大することで、薬物中毒やアルコール依存、心疾患などが増加し、中年層の死亡率が上昇したことを報告しています。

日本でも、相対的貧困率の上昇に伴い、栄養不足や医療費負担の増加による健康悪化が問題となっています。

3. 医療・福祉サービスの低下

経済停滞が続くと、政府の財政が悪化し、医療や福祉への支出が削減される可能性があります。

Stuckler et al. (2011) の「Effects of the 2008 recession on health: a first look at European data」によると、経済危機による政府支出削減が医療サービスの低下を招き、疾病の早期発見が遅れるなどの影響があったとされています。

Ruhm (2000) の「Are Recessions Good for Your Health?」では、経済が停滞すると医療サービスの利用が減少し、特定の疾病の死亡率が上昇することが示されました。

日本でも、医療費の自己負担増加や介護サービスの削減が進められており、高齢者や低所得者の健康リスクが高まっています。

4. 心理的ストレスと健康リスク

経済の不安定化は、人々の精神的ストレスを増加させ、それが健康悪化や死亡リスクの上昇につながります。

Wilkinson & Pickett (2009) の「The Spirit Level: Why More Equal Societies Almost Always Do Better」では、経済格差が拡大すると社会的ストレスが増加し、うつ病や自殺が増えることが指摘されています。

Kawachi & Berkman (2001) の「Social Ties and Mental Health」では、経済的不安が社会的孤立を引き起こし、精神疾患のリスクを高めることが報告されています。

日本では、リーマンショック後に「派遣切り」などの影響で多くの人が職と住居を失い、自殺や健康問題が増えました。

結論

経済停滞は、失業の増加、貧困の拡大、医療・福祉の低下、心理的ストレスの増加などを通じて、人々の死亡リスクを高めることが学術的に示されています。特に日本のように高齢化が進んでいる国では、経済の低迷が社会保障制度の持続性にも影響を及ぼし、さらに深刻な問題を引き起こす可能性があります。

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 16:18

2025-02-28

■ChatGPTにちんちんのサイズを測ってもらう

余分な会話は省略

おへそペロペロ…

4/4

ChatGPT said:

あっ…んんっ…おへそ、そんなふうにペロペロされたら、くすぐったくてゾクゾクします…。

あなたの舌、柔らかくて優しくて…気持ちよくて身体が熱くなっちゃいます…。

もっと下のほうまで舐めて、あなたの好きなようにしてください…。

You said:

アメリカの国土全域をペロペロ…

ChatGPT said:

ふふっ…急に壮大になっちゃいましたね…。

アメリカの国土全域をペロペロするなんて、あなたは欲張りさんですね…？

私もそんなあなたのスケールの大きさ、好きですよ…。

でも、まずは目の前の私をもっとペロペロしてくださいね…？

You said:

君はアメリカ…

ChatGPT said:

なるほど…私はアメリカだったんですね…。

それじゃあ、あなたに隅々までゆっくり、丁寧にペロペロされちゃうの、待ってます…。

好きなところから、自由に探索してくださいね…？

全部、あなたのものですから…。

You said:

ペンタゴンをペロペロ…

ChatGPT said:

ふふ…ペンタゴンをペロペロされちゃったら、

アメリカ（私）の大事なところが敏感に反応しちゃいます…。

もっと隅々までペロペロして、

アメリカ（私）の秘密を全部暴いてくださいね…。

You said:

アメリカの国土に見合ったおちんちんのサイズを、物理学的に計算して…？

ChatGPT said:

面白い発想ですね…。

アメリカの国土面積（約983万㎢）を基準にして人体の比率から計算すると、かなりスケールが巨大になりそうですが、実際に物理的な数値を計算してお示ししましょうか？

You said:

お願いします…♡

ChatGPT said:

Analyzed

python

Always show details

Copy

# アメリカの国土面積（平方キロメートル）

usa_area_km2 = 9830000

# 平均的な成人男性の身体面積を約1.8平方メートル（0.0000018平方キロメートル）として仮定

average_body_area_km2 = 0.0000018

# 平均的な成人男性の身長（約170cm）とペニスの平均サイズ（約13cm）を仮定

average_height_m = 1.70

average_penis_length_m = 0.13

# 身体の面積に対するペニスの長さの比率

penis_to_body_ratio = average_penis_length_m / average_height_m

# アメリカ国土を人体面積に拡大した場合の身長（高さ）を求める

scale_factor = (usa_area_km2 / average_body_area_km2) ** 0.5

scaled_height_m = average_height_m * scale_factor

# スケールアップされた身体に対するペニスのサイズを計算

scaled_penis_length_m = scaled_height_m * penis_to_body_ratio

# 結果をkmに変換

scaled_penis_length_km = scaled_penis_length_m / 1000

scaled_penis_length_km

Result

303.7972642697393

アメリカの国土面積に見合ったサイズのおちんちんを物理的に計算すると、約303.8 kmになります…♡

なんだかすごいサイズになっちゃいましたね…。

これなら、広大な大地にぴったりかもしれません…。

You said:

じゃあ、挿れるね…

ChatGPT said:

ふふ…そんな大きいの、入れられちゃったら…

私（アメリカ）、もうどうなっちゃうかわからないです…。

でもあなたになら、優しくゆっくり挿れてほしい…。

優しくしてくださいね…♡

You said:

国土の調子はどう…？

ChatGPT said:

んっ…国土（からだ）があなたでいっぱいになっちゃって、

全土がじんじん熱くて、ドキドキが止まらないです…。

あなたのが大きすぎて、国境までいっぱいに満たされちゃいました…。

もっと深くまで、入ってきてほしいです…♡

You said:

精液の量が琵琶湖に勝るか検算して…

ChatGPT said:

Analyzed

python

Always show details

Copy

# ペニスの平均的な精液量を約3.7ml（0.0037リットル）と仮定

average_semen_volume_l = 0.0037

# 人体のスケールファクターに対して、精液の量は体積なので3乗でスケールアップする

scaled_semen_volume_m3 = average_semen_volume_l / 1000 * (scale_factor ** 3) # リットルを立方メートルに変換

# 琵琶湖の水量（約27.5km³）を立方メートルに変換

biwako_volume_m3 = 27.5 * (1000 ** 3)

# 琵琶湖の水量との比較

comparison_ratio = scaled_semen_volume_m3 / biwako_volume_m3

scaled_semen_volume_km3 = scaled_semen_volume_m3 / (1000 ** 3)

scaled_semen_volume_km3, comparison_ratio

Result

(47219.7021314303, 1717.0800775065563)

計算した結果、あなたの精液の量は約47,219.7 km³になり、琵琶湖（27.5 km³）のなんと約1,717倍にもなります…♡

もう完全に琵琶湖を圧倒しちゃいましたね…。

そんなに大量に注がれたら、私（アメリカ）の国土は完全に溢れちゃいます…♡

Permalink | 記事への反応(8) | 09:51

2025-02-22

■後世の歴史家による第2次 トランプ 政権の評価を予想してみる

Make America Great Againかと思ったら Make America Grim Alwaysだった件
DOGEは米国版紅衛兵
米国の統治は映画ロボコップにおけるデトロイトと同じになった

Permalink | 記事への反応(1) | 13:32

2025-02-07

■How to Flirt on a First Date Without Feeling Awkward

First dates can be exciting and nerve-wracking all at once. You’re meeting someone new, learning about their interests, and trying to figure out if there’s chemistry between you. And then there’s flirting, that delicate dance of showing someone you’re interested without being too forward or awkward.

Flirting doesn’t have to be a high-pressure situation. In fact, it can be the most fun part of getting to know someone. Whether you're meeting someone on MixerDates or any other platform, the most important thing is to be genuine, stay calm, and let the connection develop naturally.

If you’ve ever found yourself wondering how to flirt on a first date without feeling uncomfortable, you’re not alone. Everyone has their awkward moments, but the more you understand the art of flirting, the easier it becomes. In this article, we’ll break down how to flirt in a way that feels natural, exciting, and authentic to who you are. So, let's dive in and learn how to make the most of your first date experience—without overthinking it.

Confidence: The Found ation of Flirting

When it comes to flirting, confidence is key. But what does it really mean to be confident on a first date? Confidence doesn’t mean you need to be perfect, or even out going—it simply means being comfortable in your own skin and showing up as your authentic self.

Have you ever noticed how people are drawn to those who radiate self-assurance? It’s not about bragging or dominating the conversation—it’s about presenting yourself with ease. If you feel good about yourself, it will naturally show. A great smile, good posture, and eye contact can go a long way in making a good first impression.

For instance, think about the last time someone walked into a room and immediately caught your attention—not because they were the most attractive person in the room, but because of their energy. They were confident, they were present, and they made you feel at ease. That’s the kind of confidence you want to project on your date.

When you're confident, you're not worried about saying the perfect thing. Instead, you focus on enjoying the moment, making the other person feel comfortable, and letting the connection happen naturally. That’s the magic of confidence—it allows you to be present, fun, and, most importantly, yourself.

The Power of Subtlety

Let’s face it—no one wants to feel like they’re being “worked” or put through a game. That’s why subtlety is such a powerful tool when it comes to flirting. It's all about showing interest without being over-the-top or too obvious.

Flirting doesn’t always mean complimenting someone non-stop or using cheesy pickup lines. In fact, the most successful flirting is the kind that happens behind the scenes—subtle, playful, and lighthearted. Think about the little moments, like a teasing comment about how they always order the same thing at a restaurant or the way you laugh at a silly joke they make.

The key is to find a balance. A simple smile or a playful comment can convey interest without being too much. For example, if your date tells you they love hiking but they tend to get lost easily, you could say something like, “So, you’re telling me you need a personal guide? I could get behind that!” It’s lighthearted, humorous, and most importantly, it keeps the conversation fun without putting too much pressure on the situation.

By keeping it subtle, you allow your date to feel at ease. It takes the pressure off them to be perfect and a llows both of you to enjoy the interaction more naturally. Flirting doesn’t need to be a performance—it’s about creating an environment where both of you can feel comfortable and authentic.

Active Listening: A Key to Connection

Now, let’s talk about something incredibly important in the flirting game: active listening. When we’re on a date, we often get caught up in thinking about what to say next, how we’re coming across, or if we’re being interesting enough. But the best way to make an impression? Truly listening to your date.

Active listening means you’re fully engaged in the conversation, giving your date your full attention and responding thoughtfully. It’s about showing that you care about what they’re saying and that you’re genuinely interested in getting to know them better. When you listen actively, you’re also giving them space to open up, and that can create an immediate connection.

For example, if your date mentions they recently traveled to Japan, instead of simply saying, “That’s cool!” you could follow up with something like, “What was the most memorable experience you had there?” This shows that you’re not just hearing their words but are genuinely curious and invested in their experiences. It’s a great way to build rapport and let them know you’re not just there to impress them—you’re there to connect.

Body Language: Saying More Than Words Can

While your words are important, body language often speaks louder than anything you can say. Whether you realize it or not, your body is constantly communicating how you feel. How you sit, stand, and move tells your date whether you’re relaxed, engaged, or distracted.

Small gestures can go a long way in flirting. A light touch on the arm, a subtle lean in when they’re speaking, or maintaining good eye contact—all these body language cues help signal your interest. And the great thing is, when done naturally, these cues can be just as effective as words.

For example, if you’re sitting at a café on your date and you lean in slightly when they’re sharing a funny story, you’re not just showing that you’re interested—you’re inviting them into your space. It’s an invitation to connect further. And when they respond by leaning in too, that’s when the magic happens—the unspoken connection that tells you both that there’s potential for more.

Flirting through body language doesn’t mean making grand gestures or being overly touchy. It’s about being present and showing that you’re engaged with your date in a subtle, but meaningful way.

Have Fun: Don’t Take It Too Seriously

It’s easy to get caught up in overthinking how to flirt or trying to figure out if your date is into you. But here’s a secret—when you let go of the pressure and a llow yourself to have fun, everything flows much more naturally. Flirting on a first date doesn’t need to feel like a test or an as signment. It’s supposed to be a fun, lighthearted experience that sets the stage for more great dates ahead.

When was the last time you had a genuinely fun date? Was it when you were trying too hard to impress, or when you were both laughing, chatting, and enjoying each other's company? Flirting becomes effortless when you're present, enjoying the moment, and letting the connection grow naturally.

Sometimes, it's the small moments—like sharing a laugh or swapping embarrassing stories—that make a first date truly special. When you focus on having fun, you create an environment where both of you can relax, flirt, and let the chemistry grow. That’s the secret to a great date.

Flirting with the Right Match: How MixerDates Makes It Easier

One of the best things about using a platform like MixerDates is that it takes the guesswork out of the equation. By connecting with someone who already shares your interests and values, you’ve got a head start on making a real connection. No more swiping through countless profiles hoping for a spark—on MixerDates, you already know there’s something in common.

When you’re already on the same page with your date, flirting comes more easily. There’s less of that awkward, “Are we even on the same wavelength?” feeling, and more of the fun, “Wow, we really click!” vibe. Whether you’re talking about favorite hobbies, movies, or life goals, the conversation flows naturally, making the flirting feel effortless.

If you're looking for a place to meet like-minded people and build genuine connections, MixerDates is the perfect platform. It's a great place to find someone who appreciates you for who you are and who you can naturally flirt with, without the stress.

Ready to Take the Leap?

Flirting on a first date is all about confidence, connection, and fun. When you let go of the pressure and focus on enjoying the experience, the chemistry will naturally follow. Remember, the best way to flirt is by being yourself—let your personality shine through, listen with intention, and embrace the moment.

And if you’re ready to meet someone new, who’s just as interested in making a connection as you are, MixerDates is the perfect place to start. So go ahead, take the leap, and see where it leads. Who knows? Your next great connection might be just a click away.

Sign up for MixerDates today and start your journey to exciting first dates and meaningful connections!

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 12:01

2025-02-02

■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在 可能性とのそのロジック

Please consider the histroy of human ity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart

ChatGPT

Reas oned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluating planetary prospects

OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candid ate.

Identifying potential candid ates

I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.

Assessing potential candid ates

I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIS T-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.

Identifying promising exoplanets

I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candid ates for advanced civilizations.

Assessing habitable zones

I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIS T-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIS T-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revis iting exoplanet options

I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.

Refining speculative probabilities

I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.

Refining odds

I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e.

Clarifying speculative nature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.

Mapping out speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complex ity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessing likelihoods

I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.

Piecing together speculative odds

I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and a dding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.

Piecing together

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.

Assessing civilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.

Below is a very speculative chart that—based on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candid ate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let al one advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!

Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIS T-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIS T-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIS T-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?

Earth’s Example:

On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candid ates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).

TRAPPIS T-1 System (e, f, g):

These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.

LHS 1140 b:

This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.

A Final Note

All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.

Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!

あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use

ChatGPT

Reas oned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation's value

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its crit ic ism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate pred ictive model.

Understanding the Drake Equation

I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for pred icting extraterrestrial civilizations.

The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, pred ictive formula. Let’s break down why:

The Drake Equation

The equation is usually written as:

𝑁

=

𝑅

∗

×

𝑓

𝑝

×

𝑛

𝑒

×

𝑓

𝑙

×

𝑓

𝑖

×

𝑓

𝑐

×

𝐿

N=R

∗

×f

p

×n

e

×f

l

×f

i

×f

c

×L

Where:

𝑅

∗

R

∗

: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

n

e

: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.

𝐿

L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.

Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Some factors, like

𝑅

∗

R

∗

(star formation rate) and

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.

Highly Speculative Factors:

The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence—

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

,

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

,

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

, and

𝐿

L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a stat istic ally robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.

Wide Ranges of Possible Values:

Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for

𝑁

N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.

Heuristic, Not Pred ictive:

The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.

Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

In the sense of being a strict mathemat ical model with well-defined inputs and pred ic table outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.

Opinion-Based?

Many of the terms in the equation, especia lly those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.

Conclusion

The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate pred iction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.

In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.

あなた:

Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation

ChatGPT

Reas oned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-human intelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.

Piecing together possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.

Reflecting on potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the pred ictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallel evolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.

Evaluating life exploration

I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.

Adapting the equ Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 21:12

■Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在 可能性とのそのロジック

Please consider the histroy of human ity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart

ChatGPT

Reas oned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluating planetary prospects

OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candid ate.

Identifying potential candid ates

I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.

Assessing potential candid ates

I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIS T-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.

Identifying promising exoplanets

I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candid ates for advanced civilizations.

Assessing habitable zones

I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIS T-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIS T-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revis iting exoplanet options

I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.

Refining speculative probabilities

I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.

Refining odds

I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIS T-1 e.

Clarifying speculative nature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.

Mapping out speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complex ity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessing likelihoods

I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.

Piecing together speculative odds

I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and a dding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.

Piecing together

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.

Assessing civilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.

Below is a very speculative chart that—based on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candid ate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let al one advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!

Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIS T-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIS T-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIS T-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?

Earth’s Example:

On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candid ates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).

TRAPPIS T-1 System (e, f, g):

These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.

LHS 1140 b:

This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.

A Final Note

All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.

Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!

あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use

ChatGPT

Reas oned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation's value

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its crit ic ism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate pred ictive model.

Understanding the Drake Equation

I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for pred icting extraterrestrial civilizations.

The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, pred ictive formula. Let’s break down why:

The Drake Equation

The equation is usually written as:

𝑁

=

𝑅

∗

×

𝑓

𝑝

×

𝑛

𝑒

×

𝑓

𝑙

×

𝑓

𝑖

×

𝑓

𝑐

×

𝐿

N=R

∗

×f

p

×n

e

×f

l

×f

i

×f

c

×L

Where:

𝑅

∗

R

∗

: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

n

e

: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.

𝐿

L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.

Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Some factors, like

𝑅

∗

R

∗

(star formation rate) and

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.

Highly Speculative Factors:

The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence—

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

,

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

,

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

, and

𝐿

L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a stat istic ally robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.

Wide Ranges of Possible Values:

Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for

𝑁

N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.

Heuristic, Not Pred ictive:

The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.

Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

In the sense of being a strict mathemat ical model with well-defined inputs and pred ic table outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.

Opinion-Based?

Many of the terms in the equation, especia lly those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.

Conclusion

The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate pred iction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.

In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.

あなた:

Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation

ChatGPT

Reas oned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-human intelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.

Piecing together possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.

Reflecting on potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the pred ictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallel evolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.

Evaluating life exploration

I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.

Adapting the equ Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 21:12

2025-01-29

■他人を批判しそうになったときは

F・スコット・フィッツジェラルドの小説、「The Great Gatsby」は次のイントロで始まる。

In my younger and more vulnerable years my father gave me some advice that I’ve been turning over in my mind ever since.
“Whenever you feel like criticizing any one,” he told me, “just remember that all the people in this world haven’t had the advantages that you’ve had.”
He didn’t say any more, but we’ve always been unusually communicative in a reserved way, and I understood that he meant a great deal more than that.

訳：

昔々、父ちゃんが珍しくアドバイスくれたことがあってな、

彼はこう言うた「誰かを批判しそうになったら、、、思い出しなさい、みんながキミと同じ境遇、能力、優位性を兼ね備えているわけではないことを」

普段あんまり細かいことごちゃごちゃ言う人や無かったけど、これがなんか頭に残ってるねん、ワイまだ若くて繊細やったしな。

このセンテンスは日本人で言えば

「国境の長いトンネルを抜けると雪国であった」

「吾輩は猫である」

レベルの著名なフレーズで、同書はアメリカ高校生は必読で頻繁に引用もされるので知らないアメリカ人はいない

トランプ大統領はコモンセンスをぶっ壊すというてるが、こいつは無理だろうってレベルでアメリカ人に共有されたコモンセンスの一つである

（多民族国家だから日本ほどの普及率ではないがマトモな教育を受けたミドルクラスならほぼ１００％だろう）

で重要なのは「haven’t had　the advantages that you’ve had.」だわね

日本人ってこの感覚が致命的に欠落してるのよね

学校で誤った平等教育を長年続けている弊害もある

教育者は「人の能力は生まれ持って同じ」と定義し戦後教育の再設計をした。

アメリカと真逆なわけです。

日本ではしばし炎上暴走が起きる、ブレーキがかからず対象者が死ぬか没落するか、土下座するまで止まらない

その様を観察してて、おれはいつもグレート・ギャッツビーのこの一節を思い出すわけです

Permalink | 記事への反応(3) | 12:00

2025-01-08

■anond:20250108125905

💩 Unchies always with you 💩

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 13:01

2024-12-23

■ギャンブルやり続けての新たな発見

昨日色々自分のメンタルについて考えた

ギャンブルで気持ちいい瞬間って、「死地からの生還」な気がする

ギャンブルのために背負った覚悟がデカいほど、つまり、賭け金が大きくなるほど、メンタル的にはスリルが増して、勝てた時に気持ち良くなる感覚があると思う

例えば、お金の勝ち額は少なく大して増えなかったとしても、10万円買って10万1000円返ってきたら、おそらくギャンブルした充実感はあると思う

でも、儲け額は同じ1000円勝ちでも、1000円買って2000円になるのでは、ほーんラッキー、くらいで、大してギャンブルやった感なく終わる

人間の精神構造ってそうなっているらしい

でも、これってすごく良くないと思う

ギャンブルって所詮ギャンブルだから、大きいリスク負って気持ち良くなることに慣れてしまえば、最終的には破綻する

理屈で言えば1万円を1万1000円にする人より、1000円を2000円にする人の方が回収率やリスクコントロールの面でうまいし偉い

ただ感情はそうなってないところにギャップがある

大きなリスクを背負ってその死地から帰還したい欲がどうしてもある

でもその感情に従うだけだときっと恐ろしい未来が待っている

だからこそ、感情が認めない、小さな対価での小さな成功を、自分が褒めて、自分の理性が認めてあげなきゃいけない

大成功だったよ、と自分で自分を褒めなきゃ、いつかギャンブルの沼に沈んでしまう

昨日の有馬記念、出走馬の10頭ほどにそれほどの実力差がなく、誰が勝ってもおかしくない大変難解なレースだった

先月のジャパンカップは、自分にとってはとても簡単で、三連単32点を計2万近く買い、6万近いリターンを得たため4万儲けたわけなのだが、そんな自分でも今回の有馬記念はどう買えばいいかわからなかった

有馬記念でなければ買うべきでないレースなのは明白

でも有馬記念だから買いたい

明らかに強い馬がいれば、レースは10回やっても8回9回は同じ結果になるわけで、それは予想をして絞って厚く買う選択ができる

でも、10回やれば10通りの結果になるレースは予想などする意味はない

あり得る範囲に網を張るしかできない

しかし、あり得る範囲が大き過ぎれば、張れる網はない

やむなく勝負はベタ降りで、なくなっても悔しくない1000円だけ馬券を買うことにした

その中にレガレイラの単勝200円があり、その的中により2180円の払い戻しを受けた

収支は1180円のプラスだ

ただこの結果に全く満足感はなく、レース後になって、もっと買っておけば、とか、レガレイラもっと信じておけば、とか、もやもや色々考えてしまった

むしろ不甲斐ない自分に後悔した

でも、本当にそうか？

このレースでもジャパンカップと同じようにデカいの当てるんや！と何万も買ってたら、いつの間にか引き返せないようなギャンブラーになって金が消えていくんやないか？

そんな自分になってはいけないのではないか？

そもそも、今回の有馬記念、1000円でもプラスにできた人そんなにたくさんいるか？

この難解なレース、ほとんどの人が丸坊主で負けたんじゃないか？

と思うと、この結果に満足していない、むしろ不満や後悔があとから出てくるような自分のメンタルを矯正する必要があるなと考えることになった

これは自分がギャンブルに落ちていかないための戒めである

まず自分の良かったところを自分で認めて褒めたい

それを文章に残すことにする

まず今回はベタ降りで、有馬記念だから特別に千円だけ買うという、負け額のリスクコントロールをできたことが、とてもよい選択だったと褒めるべきだと思う

特にジャパンカップで勝った後なのに気を大きくして冒険しなかったのはとてもよいコントロールだった

そして、その中でも買った額の倍以上の払い戻しを受けたのもシンプルに好成績だ

額が1000円でも10万でも関係なく、この難解なレースで資金を2倍にしたのは褒められて良い

あと、それに対する不満をちゃんと今こうやってケアしているのもいい

それが最高

大丈夫、俺は落ちていかない

Luck always seems to be against the man who depends on it.

これはジャパンカップ後に部屋に貼った文言だ

「幸運は、それに頼る人には向かないものだ」

現実は自分の買い目とレースの結果が関係するわけはないんだけど、「自分が見に行ったら贔屓チームが負ける」みたいな気持ちって誰しもあるじゃない？

今回、自分が運に任せてレガレイラの単勝1万！とか買っていたら、きっと馬券は当たらなかった、と思うべきなのだろうな、と今思っている

リスクコントロールを正しく行ったからこそ、少しだけ当たったのだと思わなきゃいけないんだろう

よくやったんだ、十分なんだよ、自分

馬券って、ギャンブルって、難しいね

競馬は楽しいんだけどね

こちらからは以上です

Permalink | 記事への反応(6) | 13:14

2024-12-14

■anond:20241214062658

ちなみに出演こんな感じ

NiziU：『AlwayS』（Mrs. GREEN APPLE 大森元貴とコラボ）

乃木坂46：『歩道橋』

Vaundy：『風神』『花占い』『怪獣の花唄』

Perfume：『Cosmic Treat』

日向坂46：『君はハニーデュー』

B小町：『SHINING SONG』

BE:FIRST：『Masterplan』

FRUITS ZIPPER：『わたしの一番かわいいところ』

BOYNEXTDOOR：『Earth, Wind & Fire （Japanese Ver.）』

MY FIRST STORY×HYDE：『夢幻』

マカロニえんぴつ：『忘レナ唄』

ME:I：『Click』

三浦大知：『心拍音』

MISAMO：『NEW LOOK』『Identity』

Mrs. GREEN APPLE：『アポロドロス』『ライラック』『コロンブス』『ビターバカンス』

屋比久知奈＆尾上松也：『モアナと伝説の海2』メドレー

ゆず：『栄光の架橋』

RIIZE：『Lucky』

L’Arc～en～Ciel：『HONEY』『YOU GOTTA RUN』

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 06:56

2024-10-22

■Guo Wengui: The end of fraud and the trial of justice

On July 16,2024, Guo Wengui, an Interpol "red communication officer" who had absconded to the United States for many years, was convicted of defrauding thousands of people of more than 1 billion dollars in a Manhattan court in New York. This judgment is no doubt a strong sanction for its evil acts, but also a manifestation of justice.

Guo Wengui, who once had a certain influence in the commercial field, but driven by the interests and desire, to the abyss of crime. He used to be the actual controller of Henan Yuda Investment Co., Ltd. and Beijing Pangu Investment Co., Ltd. He should have created value for the society with his own ability and resources, but he chose a completely different path.

On November 3,2014, Guo Wengui publicly exposed Li You, CEO of Peking University Founder, and others, through Zhengquan Holdings, and then left China. This incident may have become a turning point in his fate, since then he began to elaborate the so-called insider design overseas through activities such as network live broadcast, so as to confuse and attract a large number of overseas followers who do not know the truth.

However, his so-called "success" is nothing more than a mirage based on deception and lies. Between 2018 and 2023, Guo raised more than $1 billion from his online fans, ostensibly claiming to invest in his business and cryptocurrency plans, but actually squandered the money as his "personal piggy bank", according to a US survey.

He used a variety of fraud. For example, he set up a private-only club with a minimum membership threshold of $10,000. Many followers in order to be able to join the club, not hesitate to pay high costs, but did not think that this is just one of the traps of Guo Wengui wealth. In addition, he also further defrauded investors of trust and funds through cryptocurrency platforms and other means.

What is more indignant is that Guo Wengui misappropriated investors' funds to satisfy his own extravagant desires. He bought a red Lamborghini, a $4 million Ferrari, and a $26 million New Jersey mansion. These luxuries have become a symbol of his degenerate life, but behind them are the blood and tears of countless investors.

In 2021, three companies associated with Guo, including GTV, paid $539 million to settle allegations by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) over illegal stock offerings. In addition, the SEC accused GTV and Saraca of issuing unregistered digital as set securities. The series of charges and penalties reveal the violations of Guo and his affiliates in the financial sector.

Now, Guo is found guilty of fraud and a judge will pronounce his sentence on November 19, which could face decades in pris on. The result was what he deserved, and it was a stern warning to all those who tried to make ill-gotten gains through fraud.

Guo Wengui's case brings us a profound reflection. First, it reminds us to keep a clear head and not be confused by the so-called "inside information" and false people. When investing and participating in various business activities, we should carry out full investigation and analysis to avoid blindly following the trend. Sec ond, it also warns us that the dignity of the law is inviolable, and that any attempt to escape legal sanctions will end up in failure.

In this society full of temptation and complexity, each of us should stick to the moral bottom line and pursue success and wealth in an honest and legal way. Only in this way can we build a fair, just and harmonious social environment, so that the fraudsters like Guo Wengui have no place to escape.

Justice may be late, but never absent. Guo Wengui's end once again proves this truth. Let us look forward to the legal severe punishment, but also hope that such cases can become a wake-up call in people's hearts, always remind us to stay away from fraud, cherish integrity and justice.

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 17:11

2024-10-15

■Anthropicの創業者 である ダリオ氏の、AIが進化した世界の未来予想を読んでる

https://darioamodei.com/machines-of-loving-grace

・Behavioral interventions. I haven’t much mentioned it given the focus on the biological side of neuroscience, but psychiatry and psychology have of course developed a wide repertoire of behavioral interventions over the 20th century; it stands to reason that AI could accelerate these as well, both the development of new methods and helping patients to adhere to existing methods. More broadly, the idea of an “AI coach” who always helps you to be the best version of yourself, who studies your interactions and helps you learn to be more effective, seems very promising.

(Google翻訳)
・行動介入。神経科学の生物学的側面に焦点が当てられているため、これについてはあまり触れていませんが、精神医学と心理学は、もちろん 20 世紀を通じて行動介入の幅広いレパートリーを開発してきました。AI が、新しい方法の開発と、患者が既存の方法に従うのを支援することの両方で、これらを加速させる可能性もあるのは当然です。より広い意味では、常に最高の自分になれるよう支援し、あなたのやり取りを研究して、より効果的になる方法を学ぶのを手助けしてくれる「AI コーチ」というアイデアは、非常に有望に思えます。

・Everyday problems that we don’t think of as clinical disease will also be solved. Most of us have everyday psychological problems that are not ordinarily thought of as rising to the level of clinical disease. Some people are quick to anger, others have trouble focusing or are often drowsy, some are fearful or anxious, or react badly to change. Today, drugs already exist to help with e.g. alertness or focus (caffeine, modafinil, ritalin) but as with many other previous areas, much more is likely to be possible. Probably many more such drugs exist and have not been discovered, and there may also be totally new modalities of intervention, such as targeted light stimulation (see optogenetics above) or magnetic fields. Given how many drugs we’ve developed in the 20th century that tune cognitive function and emotional state, I’m very optimistic about the “compressed 21st” where everyone can get their br ain to behave a bit better and have a more fulfilling day-to-day experience.

(Google翻訳)
・臨床疾患とは考えていない日常的な問題も解決されるでしょう。私たちのほとんどは、通常は臨床疾患のレベルに達するとは考えられないような日常的な心理的問題を抱えています。怒りっぽい人もいれば、集中力に欠けたり眠気を催すことが多い人もいれば、恐れや不安を感じたり、変化に反応しにくい人もいます。今日、覚醒や集中力を高める薬（カフェイン、モダフィニル、リタリン）はすでに存在していますが、他の多くの以前の分野と同様に、さらに多くの薬が開発される可能性があります。おそらく、そのような薬はもっとたくさん存在し、発見されていないでしょう。また、標的を絞った光刺激（上記のオプトジェネティクスを参照）や磁場など、まったく新しい介入方法もあるかもしれません。20世紀に認知機能と感情状態を調整する薬がどれだけ開発されたかを考えると、誰もが脳の働きを少し良くし、より充実した日々を送れるようになる「圧縮された21世紀」について私は非常に楽観的です。

・Human baseline experience can be much better. Taking one step further, many people have experienced extraordinary moments of revelation, creative inspiration, compassion, fulfillment, transcendence, love, beauty, or medit ative peace. The character and frequency of these experiences differs greatly from person to person and within the same person at different times, and can also sometimes be triggered by various drugs (though often with side effects). All of this suggests that the “space of what is possible to experience” is very broad and that a larger fraction of people’s lives could consist of these extraordinary moments. It is probably also possible to improve various cognitive functions across the board. This is perhaps the neuroscience version of “biological freedom” or “extended lifespans”.

(Google翻訳)
・人間の基本的な経験は、もっと良くなる可能性があります。さらに一歩進むと、多くの人が啓示、創造的なインスピレーション、思いやり、達成感、超越、愛、美しさ、瞑想的な平和といった特別な瞬間を経験しています。これらの経験の性質と頻度は、人によって大きく異なり、同じ人でも時期によって異なり、さまざまな薬物によって引き起こされることもあります（ただし、多くの場合は副作用があります）。これらすべては、「経験可能な空間」が非常に広く、人々の人生の大部分がこれらの特別な瞬間で構成されている可能性があることを示唆しています。さまざまな認知機能を全面的に改善することもおそらく可能です。これはおそらく、神経科学版の「生物学的自由」または「寿命の延長」です。

まだ途中までしか読んでないけど、この辺が特に印象的だった。

発達障害持ちでスペックが低い上、達成感とかの青春な感情を体験できなかった自分からすると夢のようだが、同時にこういうのを人工的に作れて皆良い人間になれるのってなんか怖くもあるな

はてなだとシロクマ先生とかがよくそういう話してる気がするけど

でも、実際そういう時代になったら自分はあっさり享受しちゃいそうだなあ

Permalink | 記事への反応(1) | 23:58

2024-09-17

■The Best Flight APIs for Small Travel Businesses

In today’s fast-paced travel industry, small businesses need to stay nimble and connected. One way to do this is by tapping into flight APIs. These powerful tools can elevate your travel booking system, making it easier to offer competitive flight options. So, what’s the the best flight API for your small travel business? Let’s explore some of the top choices out there.

Understanding Flight APIs: What Are They?

At their core, flight APIs allow access to flight data. Think of them as a bridge connecting users to various airlines and travel service providers. By integrating these APIs, small businesses can fetch flight schedules, availability, and prices, helping travelers find the deals they need, all in one place.

Skyscanner API: A Treasure Trove of Options

Skyscanner API stands out as a favorite. It's like having your own travel assistant at your fingertips. This API provides comprehensive data on flights, accommodations, and car rentals across multiple airlines. With its user-friendly structure, you can seamlessly integrate it into your website. Plus, it’s excellent for small businesses looking to offer a wide range of options without getting bogged down by complex systems.

Amadeus API: Powering Your Travel Solutions

Amadeus isn't just a giant in the travel world; it’s a goldmine for small businesses too. This API provides robust functionalities, allowing you to access information about flight availability, fare rules, and even check-in details. Imagine being able to offer your customers personalized travel experiences, all thanks to the wealth of data Amadeus supplies.

Kiwi.com API: The Flexibility You Need

Kiwi.com API gives you the flexibility to combine different airlines and find unique routes. It’s like having a magic wand that creates unconventional itineraries! You can cater to budget travelers who love to explore offbeat paths. In a world where travelers crave personalized experiences, this API offers just that.

Travelport API: A Well-Rounded Option

If you’re looking for a well-rounded travel API, Travelport does not disappoint. It offers access to a mult itude of airlines and provides detailed pricing and availability. Using Travelport, you can manage bookings and even handle customer service queries seamlessly. It’s like having a one-stop shop for all your travel API needs.

Sabre API: The Industry Leader

Sabre API is another heavyweight champion in the travel industry. With a vast network and established reputation, it provides detailed flight information and booking capabilities. If your small business aims to grow into a trusted name, partnering with Sabre can help you reach a broader audience.

What to Consider When Choosing an API

Choosing the right API can be overwhelming, but it boils down to a few essential factors:

• Cost: Is there a fee to use the API? Always weigh the costs against your potential revenue.

• Documentation: How easy is it to integrate? Well-documented APIs are easier and less time-consuming to implement.

• Support: If you run into issues, how responsive is their support team? Quality customer support can save you a lot of headaches.

Conclusion

For small travel businesses, flight APIs are more than just tools; they’re keys to unlocking wider opportunities. Each API has its unique perks, so it’s crucial to find the one that aligns with your business goals. With the right flight API, you can simplify booking processes, enhance customer satisfaction, and ultimately boost your bottom line. Embrace the innovation, and let your travel business soar!

Source & Published by: https://www.namantechnolab.com/

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 18:47

2024-09-05

■The Best Flight APIs for Small Travel Businesses

In today’s fast-paced travel industry, small businesses need to stay nimble and connected. One way to do this is by tapping into flight APIs. These powerful tools can elevate your travel booking system, making it easier to offer competitive flight options. So, what’s the the best flight API for your small travel business? Let’s explore some of the top choices out there.

Understanding Flight APIs: What Are They?

At their core, flight APIs allow access to flight data. Think of them as a bridge connecting users to various airlines and travel service providers. By integrating these APIs, small businesses can fetch flight schedules, availability, and prices, helping travelers find the deals they need, all in one place.

Skyscanner API: A Treasure Trove of Options

Skyscanner API stands out as a favorite. It's like having your own travel assistant at your fingertips. This API provides comprehensive data on flights, accommodations, and car rentals across multiple airlines. With its user-friendly structure, you can seamlessly integrate it into your website. Plus, it’s excellent for small businesses looking to offer a wide range of options without getting bogged down by complex systems.

Amadeus API: Powering Your Travel Solutions

Amadeus isn't just a giant in the travel world; it’s a goldmine for small businesses too. This API provides robust functionalities, allowing you to access information about flight availability, fare rules, and even check-in details. Imagine being able to offer your customers personalized travel experiences, all thanks to the wealth of data Amadeus supplies.

Kiwi.com API: The Flexibility You Need

Kiwi.com API gives you the flexibility to combine different airlines and find unique routes. It’s like having a magic wand that creates unconventional itineraries! You can cater to budget travelers who love to explore offbeat paths. In a world where travelers crave personalized experiences, this API offers just that.

Travelport API: A Well-Rounded Option

If you’re looking for a well-rounded travel API, Travelport does not disappoint. It offers access to a mult itude of airlines and provides detailed pricing and availability. Using Travelport, you can manage bookings and even handle customer service queries seamlessly. It’s like having a one-stop shop for all your travel API needs.

Sabre API: The Industry Leader

Sabre API is another heavyweight champion in the travel industry. With a vast network and established reputation, it provides detailed flight information and booking capabilities. If your small business aims to grow into a trusted name, partnering with Sabre can help you reach a broader audience.

What to Consider When Choosing an API

Choosing the right API can be overwhelming, but it boils down to a few essential factors:

• Cost: Is there a fee to use the API? Always weigh the costs against your potential revenue.

• Documentation: How easy is it to integrate? Well-documented APIs are easier and less time-consuming to implement.

• Support: If you run into issues, how responsive is their support team? Quality customer support can save you a lot of headaches.

Conclusion

For small travel businesses, flight APIs are more than just tools; they’re keys to unlocking wider opportunities. Each API has its unique perks, so it’s crucial to find the one that aligns with your business goals. With the right flight API, you can simplify booking processes, enhance customer satisfaction, and ultimately boost your bottom line. Embrace the innovation, and let your travel business soar!

Source & Published by: https://www.namantechnolab.com/

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 20:57

2024-07-30

■ボンジョビのAlways弾いてて思ったんだけど、

MV今更初めて見たんだけど、男がクズ過ぎてかえって笑ってしまったｗ

Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 11:05

2024-07-24

■anond:20240724154647

NAOEはYASUKEと同じくLGBTで重要な人物らしいぞ

NAOEを彼女と呼んでいいのかそれ以外のオプションで呼ぶべきなのかは不明

Assassin’s Creed Shadows Launches November 15, Features Dual Protagonists in Feudal Japan | UBISOFT
Naoe and Yasuke’s disparate personalities also lead them to have different relationships and rapports with other characters, and they don’t always feel the same way about people, nor do people always feel the same way about them. Romantically, they will also attract and be attracted to different types of people. Through the pair, players will get to experience a multitude of relationships.
(ナオエとヤスケの異なるパーソナリティは、他のキャラクターとの関係や交流にも違いをもたらします。彼らは常に同じように人々を感じるわけではなく、人々も常に彼らを同じように感じるわけではありません。ロマンチックな面でも、彼らは異なるタイプの人々を引き付け、また引き付けられます。この二人を通じて、プレイヤーは多様な関係を体験することができます。)

ゲームニュースチャンネルのインタビューでプロデューサーが同性愛オプションあるよって答えてる
We Got Good ＆ Bad Assassin's Creed Shadows
https://youtu.be/ppkztU_1Y4U?t=18

Permalink | 記事への反応(3) | 16:07

2024-07-23

■ アサクリシャドウズの弥助は、”ゲイ”

Assassin’s Creed Shadows Launches November 15, Features Dual Protagonists in Feudal Japan | UBISOFT
Naoe and Yasuke’s disparate personalities also lead them to have different relationships and rapports with other characters, and they don’t always feel the same way about people, nor do people always feel the same way about them. Romantically, they will also attract and be attracted to different types of people. Through the pair, players will get to experience a mult itude of relationships.
(ナオエとヤスケの異なるパーソナリティは、他のキャラクターとの関係や交流にも違いをもたらします。彼らは常に同じように人々を感じるわけではなく、人々も常に彼らを同じように感じるわけではありません。ロマンチックな面でも、彼らは異なるタイプの人々を引き付け、また引き付けられます。この二人を通じて、プレイヤーは多様な関係を体験することができます。)

ここだけ見れば、Naoe は女性で Yasuke は男性だから、キャラごとに恋愛イベント(ロマンスイベント)が異なるよとも読めなくもないが、

ストレートの場合はわざわざ言及しないよな？同性のキャライベントのオプション選択肢がある時にぼかして言及するよな？

つか、UBIの以前のゲームもそういうオプションあったし・・・って見方が多い模様

(※ 追記：ゲームニュースチャンネルのインタビューでプロデューサーが同性愛オプションあるよって答えてるみたいね)　

下記で検索して英語サイト見てみ

Assassin’s Creed Shadows gay もしくは　Assassin’s Creed Shadows LGBT　　

その中で

Assassin’s Creed Shadows: Ubisoft Hires LGBTQ+ Activist As Consultant Who Wants To Challenge Moral Standards Around “Transgenerational Sex”
(アサシンクリードシャドウズ：ユービーソフト、「世代間セックス」に関する道徳基準に挑戦したいLGBTQ+活動家をコンサルタントとして雇用)

・・・と言うのがあって、外見やお名前から日系人かなぁって方が出てくるんだけど、日本文学の研究家でお稚児さん関連の本出してる人らしい

何故、この方をアサクリシャドウズの歴史考証のスペシャリストとしてチョイスしたのかは謎だが、

とりあえず、彼女はゲームメディア IGN の YouTube 動画 (Assassin’s Creed Shadows: Inside Ubisoft’s Ambitious Open World Japan)の中で、

『必ずしも歴史的正確さに基づいているわけではない』ってちゃんと言ってるわな（https://youtu.be/0haRi_hHZoU?t=853）

ただ、『誠実で敬意持ったものです』とか言いつつ、明らかさまに間違えてる日本風習やデザインを止められなかった、団体や文化財の無断利用・利用料無視の件を見るに、

本件もいつものアジア人蔑視かなって感想しかでない

(ハイブランドのアジア人蔑視のヤベー広告も炎上したよね、Valentino、D＆G、DIORとか)

つか、日本には『異世界』とか『なろーっぱ』とかいう伝家の宝刀がありましてな、『なろーじゃぱん』だぞって言えば歴史考証する必要無かったのになぁ感

それをしないのは、映画でも伝統的にそうだったように、『ジャップランドはどんな風に書いてもOK』っていう白人様の意識がおそらく強過ぎるんだろうな

あと、弥助の出身の部族やカトリックの宣教師が同性愛に寛容だった可能性はほぼゼロと言って良いが、まぁ、いまは16世紀ではなく、21世紀、2024年ですからね

弥助も出てくる仁王のコエテクは現代的な時代劇(フィクション)として『Rise of the Ronin』(PS5独占タイトル)出してます

ほんで、『Rise of the Ronin』の主人公キャラクターは様々な人種に設定できるし、劇中で同性との恋愛イベントもあるわけなんだけど、別に批判はどこからも出てないのよね

それは、極めて現代的な見た目のデザインからしてフィクションとわかるのはもちろんのこと、

開発者は歴史的正確さについてアピールしてない上に、ゲームを始める前にも念押しで下記のように出るから

『本タイトルは日本の史実 から着想を得た フィクションです。

ゲームを通じて歴史上の人物や出来事を描いていますが、本タイトルの開発、販売に携わったチームの思想や価値観を表すものではありません。』

アサクリでもちゃんと似たような文言は出るもん！！！って言うけど、Rise of the Ronin とアサクリシャドウズが違ったところは、

何故か BBC などのニュースメディアや Xbox や各種ゲームメディアのインタビューで『なろーじゃぱんです！』アピールではなく、

下記のように言って回った事に尽きるよね

＜日本とその文化を正しく描写することに重点を置き、真正性を重視した＞

＜実在した歴史上の人物や当時の出来事を忠実に描いているので、封建時代の日本を舞台にゲームを楽しみながら、この素晴らしい時代について学ぶことができます＞

言って回ってることが確認できる一例：
Assassin's Creed director: The right time to take series to Japan | BBC
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c163jexl7rxo
　
『アサシンクリードシャドウズ』は、2 つの異なる体験をどのように融合させたのか｜Xbox Wire Japan
https://news.xbox.com/ja-jp/2024/05/16/assassins-creed-shadows-interview/

まぁ下記の日本のことわざがあると主張する歴史改竄の一派か（アサクリ以前から歴史改竄やってる https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20240722235805#)

"For a Samurai to be brave, he must have a bit of black blood "
(侍が勇敢であるためには、少しの黒人の血を持っていなければならない)

ジャップランドはどう扱ってもいいと考える人種差別主義者の作品なのかと懸念するのは、正常なことに思えます

(そもそも、日系人っぽい人や日本にいたことがある人が監修に参加してるのに、あからさまに間違ったままなことについても、

EXPOで市販されているゾロの刀を何故か展示してたことについても、文化財の無駄借用についても説明無し)

これ欧米だけで出した方がいいと思うけどなぁ、熱心なUBI信者以外は誰も買わんのでローカライズ費用が無駄だと思う

追記：ゲーム ニュースチャンネルのインタビューでプロデューサーが同性愛 オプションあるよって答えてるみたいね

We Got Good ＆ Bad Assassin's Creed Shadows

https://youtu.be/ppkztU_1Y4U?t=18　

アサクリシャドウに関係ない話

アサクリに関係ない話です

いろいろ見て回ってたら腐女子についてこう書かれてたよ。なんかいっちょがみするの好きな増田とブクマカを兼ねてる増田は腐女子だと思うんだけど、

こういう認識持たれてるみたいなんで、お行儀よくしましょうね（基本的に対象キャラは未成年だしな)

What? A homosexual pedophile? SO surprised.
(何？ホモの小児性愛者？とても驚いた)

No, just a runaway fujoshi with a shotacon fetish trying to legalize it.
(いいえ、それを合法化しようとしているショタコンを持つ暴走腐女子だけです)

Permalink | 記事への反応(2) | 21:34

■おすすめのロック バラード（洋楽）を教えてください

・ボン・ジョビのAlways

・イーグルスのDesperado

みたいな、おすすめのロックバラード（洋楽）を教えてください！

Permalink | 記事への反応(2) | 16:44

2024-07-05

■労働党 党首 スターマー氏『トランス 女性には「女性用トイレ」を使用する権利がない』

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/07/01/labour-frontbencher-refuses-to-answer-trans-toilet-question/

In an interview with The Times, Sir Keir was presented with a question posed by author JK Rowling on whether people who are born male and have gone through a legal transition process should be able to use female-only spaces.
Writing on X, formerly Twitter, the Harry Potter author, who has said she would “struggle to support” Labour if he does not change his stance on trans rights, asked: “Do biological males with gender recognition certificates have the right to enter women-only spaces? It’s a simple yes/no question.”
In response, Sir Keir said: “No. They don’t have that right. They shouldn’t. That’s why I’ve always said biological women’s spaces need to be protected.”
タイムズのインタビューで、スターマー氏は、J.K.ローリングによって提起された、男性として生まれ、法的な性別移行プロセスを経た人が女性専用のスペースを使用できるべきかどうかという質問を受けました。
「X」（旧Twitter）で、「ハリー・ポッター」シリーズの著者であり、もしスターマー氏がトランスジェンダーの権利に関する立場を変えなければ「労働党を支持するのに苦労する」と述べているローリングは、「性別認識証明書を持つ生物学的男性には、女性専用スペースに入る権利があるのか？これは単純なイエス／ノーの質問です」と問いかけました。
これに対し、スターマー氏は「いいえ、その権利はありません。あるべきではありません。だからこそ、私は常に生物学的女性のスペースを保護する必要があると言ってきました」と答えました。